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Peterhead vs Montrose

Scotland Scotland

League One Balmoor, Peterhead
Sat, Sep 5, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Peterhead host Montrose in the League One. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Peterhead at 1.5 goals for, 1.18 against; Montrose at 1.55 for, 1.69 against. Past meetings favor Montrose slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 0.94) point toward Peterhead. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Peterhead
15%
Draws
34%
Montrose
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Peterhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Peterhead have won more games recently than Montrose.
  • Peterhead are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Peterhead Clean Sheet 20%
Montrose Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peterhead Montrose
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 League One
Peterhead vs Montrose
1:1
Feb 10, 2026 League One
Montrose vs Peterhead
1:1
Nov 15, 2025 League One
Peterhead vs Montrose
1:1
Aug 30, 2025 League One
Montrose vs Peterhead
2:1
Nov 30, 2024 Scottish Cup
Peterhead vs Montrose
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peterhead 40 / 100
Montrose 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peterhead Montrose

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peterhead Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Peterhead scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Montrose has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Peterhead remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Peterhead VS Montrose
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Peterhead

(Home)
22 Aug
Cove Rangers
3 : 0
Peterhead
15 Aug
Peterhead
2 : 1
East Fife
11 Aug
Banks O' Dee
1 : 5
Peterhead
08 Aug
Queen of the South
0 : 1
Peterhead
01 Aug
Peterhead
0 : 1
Ross County
Page 1 of 6

Montrose

(Away)
22 Aug
Montrose
3 : 0
East Kilbride
15 Aug
Alloa
3 : 0
Montrose
11 Aug
Montrose
2 : 0
Fraserburgh
08 Aug
Ross County
2 : 1
Montrose
01 Aug
Montrose
0 : 5
Hamilton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamilton 4 3 1 0 10:0 10
2 Ross County 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
3 East Kilbride 4 2 1 1 9:5 7
4 Alloa 4 2 1 1 5:1 7
5 Peterhead 4 2 0 2 3:5 6
6 East Fife 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
7 Cove Rangers 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
8 Montrose 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
9 Airdrieonians 4 0 2 2 2:8 2
10 Queen of the South 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)