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Stadium Background

Peterhead vs Montrose - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League One Balmoor, Peterhead
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Barjonas J.
21'
Brown J.
37' Event
Sutherland J.
Assist: Oosenbrugh C.

AI Match Summary

Montrose in this League One matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montrose.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Peterhead
15%
Draws
57%
Montrose
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montrose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Montrose average 1.59 goals a game right now, well clear of Peterhead's 1.37.
  • Peterhead are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Peterhead Clean Sheet 13%
Montrose Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peterhead Montrose
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 12 12
Draws 2 3
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.37 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 League One
Peterhead vs Montrose
0:3
Mar 21, 2026 League One
Peterhead vs Montrose
1:1
Feb 10, 2026 League One
Montrose vs Peterhead
1:1
Nov 15, 2025 League One
Peterhead vs Montrose
1:1
Aug 30, 2025 League One
Montrose vs Peterhead
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peterhead Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Montrose Compare

Top Goalscorer Barjonas J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sutherland J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peterhead 48 / 100
Montrose 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peterhead Montrose

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peterhead Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Peterhead scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Montrose has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Montrose has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Peterhead VS Montrose
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Peterhead

(Home)
03 Oct
Hamilton
2 : 1
Peterhead
26 Sept
Peterhead
0 : 1
Elgin City
22 Sept
Forfar Athletic
0 : 2
Peterhead
19 Sept
Peterhead
1 : 2
Airdrieonians
12 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 1
Peterhead
Page 1 of 6

Montrose

(Away)
03 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Montrose
26 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1
Montrose
22 Sept
Formartine Utd
3 : 2
Montrose
19 Sept
East Fife
1 : 2
Montrose
12 Sept
Montrose
2 : 1
Cove Rangers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 8 7 1 0 26:5 22
2 Hamilton 8 7 1 0 18:2 22
3 East Kilbride 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
4 Montrose 9 5 0 4 13:14 15
5 Airdrieonians 9 3 3 3 7:11 12
6 Alloa 9 2 3 4 9:10 9
7 East Fife 9 1 5 3 7:10 8
8 Peterhead 9 2 1 6 7:16 7
9 Queen of the South 9 2 1 6 10:27 7
10 Cove Rangers 9 1 2 6 8:15 5
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)