Sport Picks

Scotland

Scottish Cup 2025/2026 Balmoor, Peterhead

Peterhead

Sat, Nov 29, 2025

2 - 3

03:00 PM

Morton

Our Tip

Match Events

38'

Smith C.

41'

McGinn N.

48'

Adeloye T.

Assist: Garrity M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Morton advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%

Peterhead

15%

Draws

12%

Morton

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Peterhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Peterhead come out ahead of Morton on wins alone.
Peterhead are the model's pick here, at 80%.
Peterhead have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Morton, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Morton have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Peterhead Clean Sheet 20%

Morton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Peterhead	Morton
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	13	4
Draws	3	6
Losses	13	18
Goals Scored	1.38	0.71
Goals Conceded	1.31	1.64
Expected Goals (xG)	1.69	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 Scottish Cup

Peterhead vs Morton

2:3

Jul 12, 2025 League Cup

Peterhead vs Morton

2:4

Nov 27, 2018 Scottish Cup

Peterhead vs Morton

0:3

Nov 24, 2018 Scottish Cup

Morton vs Peterhead

1:1

May 2, 2015 League One

Morton vs Peterhead

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peterhead Compare

Top Goalscorer McGinn N.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Shanks K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.3

Avg xA / game 0.84

Morton Compare

Top Goalscorer Adeloye T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peterhead 76 / 100

Morton 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Peterhead Morton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peterhead Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morton let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Peterhead's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Away concern: Morton has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Peterhead VS Morton

1.63 Goals Scored 0.5

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75

100% Over 1.5 75%

88% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Peterhead

(Home)

26 Sept

Peterhead

0 : 1

Elgin City

22 Sept

Forfar Athletic

0 : 2

Peterhead

19 Sept

Peterhead

1 : 2

Airdrieonians

12 Sept

East Kilbride

3 : 1

Peterhead

08 Sept

Peterhead

2 : 1

Clachnacuddin

Page 1 of 6

Morton

(Away)

25 Sept

Inverness

2 : 0

Morton

19 Sept

Morton

0 : 1

Dunfermline

11 Sept

Morton

1 : 4

Livingston

05 Sept

Queen's Park

2 : 1

Morton

29 Aug

Ayr

1 : 1

Morton

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Rangers -

TBD -

Clyde -

TBD -

Annan -

Lossiemouth 1

Formartine Utd 2

Huntly 1

Buckie Thistle 3

Stranraer -

TBD -

Glenafton 3

Invergordon 2

Jeanfield Swifts 0

Clydebank FC 4

Newtongrange Star 1

East Stirlingshire 3

Boness Athletic 2

Keith 1

Linlithgow Rose 2

Gala Fairydean Rovers 1

TBD -

Queen's Park -

Dumbarton -

TBD -

Coldstream 2

Tayport FC 3

Auchinleck Talbot 2

Cumnock Juniors 1

Carluke Rovers FC 0

Gretna 2008 4

TBD -

Celtic -

Kilmarnock -

TBD -

Dundee FC -

Airdrieonians -

TBD -

Hamilton -

East Fife -

TBD -

Arbroath -

Livingston -

TBD -

St. Mirren -

Camelon Juniors 2

Albion Rovers 1

Johnstone Burgh 4

Threave Rovers 0

Edinburgh City -

TBD -

Stirling University 6

Burntisland Shipyard 2

Elgin City -

TBD -

Darvel FC 1

Deveronvale 3

Forres Mechanics 0

Caledonian Braves 2

TBD -

Stirling -

Musselburgh 2

Bonnyton Thistle 0

TBD -

Forfar Athletic -

TBD -

Partick -

Wick Academy 5

Rothes 0

Cowdenbeath 1

Benburb 2

TBD -

Montrose -

Dunfermline -

TBD -

Queen of the South -

TBD -

Hibernian -

Kelty Hearts -

TBD -

Lochee United 1

Brechin 3

Civil Service Strollers 2

Dundonald Bluebell 3

St Johnstone -

TBD -

Cove Rangers -

Aberdeen -

TBD -

Raith -

TBD -

Alloa -

Motherwell -

TBD -

Boness United 0

Banks O' Dee 3

Brora Rangers 0

Fraserburgh 1

TBD -

Ross County -

Stenhousemuir -

TBD -

Clachnacuddin 2

Kilwinning Rangers 1

Inverurie Loco Works 0

Sauchie 2

Peterhead -

TBD -

Morton -

Hearts -

TBD -

Falkirk -

Ayr -

TBD -

Berwick 0

Nairn County 2

Turriff United 2

Hill Of Beath 1

TBD -

Dundee Utd -

Cumbernauld Colts 4

Glasgow University 0

Bonnyrigg Rose 2

Broxburn Athletic 1

Spartans -

TBD -

East Kilbride -

Tranent FC 3

Pollok 0

Strathspey Thistle 1

Dundee North End 2

TBD -

Inverness -

1/64-finals

Rangers -

TBD -

Clyde 2

Annan 3

Formartine Utd 0

Buckie Thistle 2

Stranraer 4

Glenafton 0

Clydebank FC 3

East Stirlingshire 1

Boness Athletic 0

Linlithgow Rose 2

TBD -

Queen's Park -

Dumbarton 2

Tayport FC 0

Auchinleck Talbot 3

Gretna 2008 1

TBD -

Celtic -

Kilmarnock -

TBD -

Dundee FC -

Airdrieonians -

TBD -

Hamilton -

East Fife -

TBD -

Arbroath -

Livingston -

TBD -

St. Mirren -

Camelon Juniors 1

Johnstone Burgh 0

Edinburgh City 1

Stirling University 0

Elgin City 2

Deveronvale 1

Caledonian Braves 3

Stirling 4

Musselburgh 1

Forfar Athletic 2

TBD -

Partick -

Wick Academy 1

Benburb 2

TBD -

Montrose -

Dunfermline -

TBD -

Queen of the South -

TBD -

Hibernian -

Kelty Hearts -

TBD -

Brechin 3

Dundonald Bluebell 1

St Johnstone -

TBD -

Cove Rangers -

Aberdeen -

TBD -

Raith -

TBD -

Alloa -

Motherwell -

TBD -

Banks O' Dee 4

Fraserburgh 0

TBD -

Ross County -

Stenhousemuir -

TBD -

Clachnacuddin 2

Sauchie 0

Peterhead -

TBD -

Morton -

Hearts -

TBD -

Falkirk -

Ayr -

TBD -

Nairn County 1

Turriff United 2

TBD -

Dundee Utd -

Cumbernauld Colts 0

Bonnyrigg Rose 2

Spartans 2

East Kilbride 1

Tranent FC 3

Dundee North End 0

TBD -

Inverness -

1/32-finals

Rangers -

TBD -

Annan 4

Buckie Thistle 0

Stranraer 2

Clydebank FC 1

Linlithgow Rose 1

Queen's Park 3

Dumbarton 0

Auchinleck Talbot 4

TBD -

Celtic -

Kilmarnock -

TBD -

Dundee FC -

Airdrieonians 4

Hamilton 0

East Fife 0

Arbroath 2

Livingston -

TBD -

St. Mirren -

Camelon Juniors 2

Edinburgh City 1

Elgin City 4

Stirling 2

Forfar Athletic 0

Partick 2

Benburb 0

Montrose 3

Dunfermline 2

Queen of the South 1

TBD -

Hibernian -

Kelty Hearts 2

Brechin 0

St Johnstone 1

Cove Rangers 2

Aberdeen -

TBD -

Raith 1

Alloa 0

Motherwell -

TBD -

Banks O' Dee 0

Ross County 2

Stenhousemuir 4

Clachnacuddin 1

Peterhead 2

Morton 3

Hearts -

TBD -

Falkirk -

Ayr 3

Turriff United 0

TBD -

Dundee Utd -

Bonnyrigg Rose 1

Spartans 2

Tranent FC 1

Inverness 2

1/16-finals

Rangers 5

Annan 0

Stranraer 2

Queen's Park 1

Auchinleck Talbot 0

Celtic 2

Kilmarnock 1

Dundee FC 2

Airdrieonians 4

Arbroath 3

Livingston 1

St. Mirren 2

Camelon Juniors 1

Elgin City 3

Partick 3

Montrose 1

Dunfermline 1

Hibernian 0

Kelty Hearts 2

Cove Rangers 1

Aberdeen 1

Raith 0

Motherwell 1

Ross County 0

Stenhousemuir 4

Morton 0

Hearts 1

Falkirk 2

Ayr 0

Dundee Utd 2

Spartans 1

Inverness 0

1/8-finals

Rangers 8

Queen's Park 0

Celtic 2

Dundee FC 1

Airdrieonians 1

St. Mirren 2

Elgin City 2

Partick 3

Dunfermline 2

Kelty Hearts 0

Aberdeen 2

Motherwell 0

Stenhousemuir 0

Falkirk 2

Dundee Utd 2

Spartans 1

Quarter-finals

Rangers 0

Celtic 1

St. Mirren 2

Partick 1

Dunfermline 3

Aberdeen 0

Falkirk 2

Dundee Utd 1

Semi-finals

Celtic 6

St. Mirren 2

Dunfermline 1

Falkirk 0

Final

Celtic 3

Dunfermline 1

Peterhead vs Morton

Scotland

Peterhead

Morton

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Peterhead Compare

Morton Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Peterhead

Morton

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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