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Petite Riviere vs PAS Mates

Mauritius Mauritius

Super League
Petite Riviere Logo

Petite Riviere

3 - 1
FT
PAS Mates Logo

PAS Mates

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Petite Riviere and PAS Mates finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Petite Riviere.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Petite Riviere
30%
Draws
16%
PAS Mates
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Petite Riviere

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • PAS Mates haven't matched Petite Riviere's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Petite Riviere's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Petite Riviere have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Petite Riviere Clean Sheet 20%
PAS Mates Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Petite Riviere PAS Mates
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 3
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.39 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.26 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Super League
PAS Mates vs Petite Riviere
0:3
Dec 7, 2025 Super League
Petite Riviere vs PAS Mates
3:1
May 10, 2025 Super League
PAS Mates vs Petite Riviere
0:3
Jan 25, 2025 Super League
Petite Riviere vs PAS Mates
0:0
May 9, 2012 Super League
Petite Riviere vs PAS Mates
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Petite Riviere 85 / 100
PAS Mates 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Petite Riviere PAS Mates

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Petite Riviere Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: PAS Mates conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Petite Riviere scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Petite Riviere has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Petite Riviere VS PAS Mates
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Petite Riviere

(Home)
01 May
Petite Riviere
2 : 0
Beau Bassin (USBBRH)
24 Apr
Cercle De Joachim
1 : 1
Petite Riviere
19 Apr
Chebel Citizens
1 : 0
Petite Riviere
28 Mar
PAS Mates
0 : 3
Petite Riviere
15 Mar
Petite Riviere
2 : 4
La Cure Waves
Page 1 of 7

PAS Mates

(Away)
30 Apr
PAS Mates
1 : 3
AS Vacoas
22 Apr
Port Louis
3 : 0
PAS Mates
19 Apr
PAS Mates
1 : 1
Beau Bassin (USBBRH)
28 Mar
PAS Mates
0 : 3
Petite Riviere
15 Mar
Chebel Citizens
0 : 0
PAS Mates
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Cure Waves 18 14 1 3 50:20 43
2 Pamplemousses 18 12 3 3 35:14 39
3 Chebel Citizens 18 11 3 4 28:13 36
4 Cercle De Joachim 18 8 4 6 33:21 28
5 Riviere Du Rempart 18 8 4 6 33:27 28
6 Port Louis 18 7 3 8 26:29 24
7 Petite Riviere 18 7 3 8 23:24 24
8 AS Vacoas 18 7 2 9 24:23 23
9 Beau Bassin (USBBRH) 18 1 5 12 15:46 8
10 PAS Mates 18 0 2 16 10:60 2
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)