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Petrocub Hincesti vs Milsami

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga Stadionul Municipal
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Petrocub Hincesti play Milsami in the Super Liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Petrocub Hincesti averaged 2.03 goals scored and 0.56 conceded. Milsami averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Petrocub Hincesti won 4, Milsami won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Petrocub Hincesti and 0.44 for Milsami. This points to a Petrocub Hincesti double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Petrocub Hincesti
21%
Draws
27%
Milsami
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Petrocub Hincesti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Petrocub Hincesti picked up more points recently compared to Milsami.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 0.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Petrocub Hincesti Clean Sheet 31%
Milsami Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Petrocub Hincesti Milsami
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 22 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.03 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.56 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Super Liga
Petrocub Hincesti vs Milsami
5:0
May 2, 2026 Super Liga
Milsami vs Petrocub Hincesti
0:3
Mar 21, 2026 Super Liga
Petrocub Hincesti vs Milsami
2:0
Nov 2, 2025 Super Liga
Milsami vs Petrocub Hincesti
1:2
Sep 24, 2025 Super Liga
Milsami vs Petrocub Hincesti
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Petrocub Hincesti Compare

Top Goalscorer Puscas D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rotaru N.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Milsami Compare

Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Petrocub Hincesti 53 / 100
Milsami 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Petrocub Hincesti Milsami

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Petrocub Hincesti or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Petrocub Hincesti attacking → ← attacking Milsami

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Petrocub Hincesti scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Milsami let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Petrocub Hincesti went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Milsami lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

72 Points in last 5 43
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.25
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Petrocub Hincesti22007:16
2Sheriff Tiraspol21103:04
3Zimbru Chisinau21103:04
4Dacia Buiucani21014:23
5CSF Balti21013:33
6Politehnica UTM20110:31
7Milsami20110:51
8Real Sireti20020:60