Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Petrocub Hincesti vs Sheriff Tiraspol

Moldova Moldova

Moldovan Cup Stadionul Municipal, Hincesti
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Bogaciuc V.
34'
Sub
Twumasi R. In: Ciss B.
Out: Twumasi R.
35'
Bogaciuc V.

AI Match Summary

Petrocub Hincesti in this Moldovan Cup tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Petrocub Hincesti
6%
Draws
90%
Sheriff Tiraspol
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sheriff Tiraspol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sheriff Tiraspol have won more games recently than Petrocub Hincesti.
  • Win probability leans Sheriff Tiraspol's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Sheriff Tiraspol arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Petrocub Hincesti, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Petrocub Hincesti Clean Sheet 13%
Sheriff Tiraspol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Petrocub Hincesti Sheriff Tiraspol
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 20 21
Draws 6 4
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Super Liga
Petrocub Hincesti vs Sheriff Tiraspol
2:3
May 13, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Petrocub Hincesti
2:0
May 6, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Petrocub Hincesti vs Sheriff Tiraspol
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 Super Liga
Petrocub Hincesti vs Sheriff Tiraspol
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Petrocub Hincesti
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Petrocub Hincesti Compare

Top Goalscorer Bogaciuc V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sheriff Tiraspol Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Petrocub Hincesti 10 / 100
Sheriff Tiraspol 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Petrocub Hincesti Sheriff Tiraspol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Petrocub Hincesti's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Petrocub Hincesti went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sheriff Tiraspol has conceded goals in 42% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Petrocub Hincesti VS Sheriff Tiraspol
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Petrocub Hincesti

(Home)
19 Jul
Petrocub Hincesti
2 : 3
Sheriff Tiraspol
15 Jul
KF Egnatia
6 : 1
Petrocub Hincesti
11 Jul
CSF Balti
1 : 1
Petrocub Hincesti
08 Jul
Petrocub Hincesti
1 : 1
KF Egnatia
04 Jul
Petrocub Hincesti
5 : 0
Milsami
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Sheriff Tiraspol

(Away)
19 Jul
Petrocub Hincesti
2 : 3
Sheriff Tiraspol
16 Jul
Aluminij
0 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
12 Jul
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 2
Zimbru Chisinau
09 Jul
Sheriff Tiraspol
0 : 0
Aluminij
04 Jul
Politehnica UTM
0 : 0
Sheriff Tiraspol
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Petrocub Hincesti-
TBD-
Oguzsport1
Olimp Comrat2
Zaria Balti-
TBD-
Falesti1
Victoria2
Sheriff Tiraspol-
TBD-
FCM Ungheni3
Steaua Nordului2
Dacia Buiucani-
TBD-
Stauceni7
National Ialoveni3
Zimbru Chisinau-
TBD-
Univer Comrat6
Constructorul Leova1
Politehnica UTM-
TBD-
Real Sireti7
CSFCJT Atletico2
Milsami-
TBD-
Floresti6
EFA Visoca0
Sparta Selemet-
TBD-
Iskra Ribnita4
FC Congaz1
1/8-finals
Petrocub Hincesti2
Olimp Comrat0
CSF Balti6
Victoria1
Sheriff Tiraspol7
FCM Ungheni0
Dacia Buiucani1
Stauceni0
Zimbru Chisinau10
Univer Comrat0
Politehnica UTM6
Real Sireti1
Milsami1
Floresti0
Sparta Selemet3
Iskra Ribnita1
Quarter-finals
Petrocub Hincesti2
CSF Balti1
Sheriff Tiraspol4
Dacia Buiucani1
Zimbru Chisinau10
Politehnica UTM0
Milsami5
Sparta Selemet0
Semi-finals
Petrocub Hincesti1
Sheriff Tiraspol2
Zimbru Chisinau3
Milsami0
Final
Sheriff Tiraspol2
Zimbru Chisinau0