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Petrocub Hincesti vs Sheriff Tiraspol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga Stadionul Municipal, Hincesti
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Asprilla Moreno J.
46'
Sub
Demian D. In: Cucos C.
Out: Demian D.
46'
Sub
Puscas D. In: Iosipoi M.
Out: Puscas D.

AI Match Summary

The Super Liga game between Petrocub Hincesti and Sheriff Tiraspol finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sheriff Tiraspol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Petrocub Hincesti
20%
Draws
40%
Sheriff Tiraspol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sheriff Tiraspol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Petrocub Hincesti Clean Sheet 16%
Sheriff Tiraspol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Petrocub Hincesti Sheriff Tiraspol
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 18 20
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.77 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Petrocub Hincesti
2:2
Jul 19, 2026 Super Liga
Petrocub Hincesti vs Sheriff Tiraspol
2:3
May 13, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Petrocub Hincesti
2:0
May 6, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Petrocub Hincesti vs Sheriff Tiraspol
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 Super Liga
Petrocub Hincesti vs Sheriff Tiraspol
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Petrocub Hincesti Compare

Top Goalscorer Popescu P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rotaru N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Sheriff Tiraspol Compare

Top Goalscorer Asprilla Moreno J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Magassouba S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Petrocub Hincesti 31 / 100
Sheriff Tiraspol 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Petrocub Hincesti Sheriff Tiraspol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Petrocub Hincesti's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Petrocub Hincesti has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Sheriff Tiraspol conceded in 49% of 35 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Petrocub Hincesti VS Sheriff Tiraspol
1.38 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Petrocub Hincesti

(Home)
19 Sept
Politehnica UTM
0 : 1
Petrocub Hincesti
12 Sept
Petrocub Hincesti
2 : 1
Real Sireti
05 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
2 : 2
Petrocub Hincesti
30 Aug
Petrocub Hincesti
3 : 0
CSF Balti
22 Aug
Milsami
1 : 0
Petrocub Hincesti
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Sheriff Tiraspol

(Away)
20 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
7 : 0
CSF Balti
13 Sept
Milsami
0 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
05 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
2 : 2
Petrocub Hincesti
29 Aug
Zimbru Chisinau
2 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
23 Aug
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 0
Politehnica UTM
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheriff Tiraspol 13 8 4 1 32:10 28
2 Zimbru Chisinau 13 8 2 3 27:12 26
3 Petrocub Hincesti 13 7 3 3 24:13 24
4 Dacia Buiucani 13 6 2 5 17:16 20
5 Milsami 13 4 5 4 13:17 17
6 Politehnica UTM 13 4 3 6 18:19 15
7 Real Sireti 13 0 7 6 8:19 7
8 CSF Balti 13 1 2 10 9:42 5
Promotion - Super Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super Liga (Relegation Group)