Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Petrolina vs Retro

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2025 Estádio Paulo Coelho, Petrolina
Petrolina Logo

Petrolina

0 - 1
FT
Retro Logo

Retro

Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Vitinho
37'
Felipe Augusto
53'
Sub
Yonder Vargas In: Ramos V.
Out: Yonder Vargas
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Retro in this Pernambucano 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Retro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Petrolina
30%
Draws
62%
Retro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Retro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Retro have won more games recently than Petrolina.
  • Retro are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Petrolina Clean Sheet 20%
Retro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Petrolina Retro
Matches Played 42 39
Wins 13 16
Draws 12 10
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.21 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Pernambucano
Petrolina vs Retro
0:1
Jun 26, 2024 Serie D
Retro vs Petrolina
1:0
May 25, 2024 Serie D
Petrolina vs Retro
3:1
Jan 21, 2024 Pernambucano
Retro vs Petrolina
0:1
Mar 4, 2023 Pernambucano
Retro vs Petrolina
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Petrolina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Retro Compare

Top Goalscorer Junior Fialho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Petrolina 16 / 100
Retro 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Petrolina Retro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Retro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Petrolina scored in 60% of their last 42 outings.

Retro let in goals in 74% of their last 39 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Petrolina has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Retro
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Petrolina

(Home)
22 Feb
Petrolina
1 : 3
Sport Recife
17 Feb
Jaguar
2 : 1
Petrolina
09 Feb
Petrolina
0 : 1
Retro
02 Feb
Petrolina
0 : 0
Central SC
30 Jan
Decisao
3 : 0
Petrolina
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Retro

(Away)
14 Jun
Retro
3 : 0
Treze PB
31 May
Serra Branca
0 : 0
Retro
24 May
Retro
1 : 1
Lagarto
17 May
Retro
2 : 1
Decisao
09 May
Sergipe
1 : 0
Retro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz 9 6 2 1 14:4 20
2 Maguary 9 5 2 2 13:10 17
3 Nautico 9 5 1 3 15:9 16
4 Sport Recife 9 4 3 2 17:8 15
5 Decisao 9 3 4 2 11:12 13
6 Retro 9 3 3 3 8:10 12
7 Jaguar 9 3 2 4 10:16 11
8 Central SC 9 2 3 4 8:9 9
9 Afogados da Ingazeira 9 0 5 4 5:13 5
10 Petrolina 9 0 3 6 4:14 3
Promotion - Pernambucano 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pernambucano 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Pernambucano (Main)