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Petrolina vs Serrano PE

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2022 Estádio Paulo Coelho, Petrolina
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AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2022 game between Petrolina and Serrano PE finished 8-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Petrolina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Petrolina
20%
Draws
64%
Serrano PE
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Serrano PE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Petrolina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Petrolina's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Petrolina have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Petrolina Clean Sheet 20%
Serrano PE Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Petrolina Serrano PE
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 8 3
Draws 10 7
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 1.03 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2022 Pernambucano 2
Petrolina vs Serrano PE
8:0
Sep 18, 2021 Pernambucano 2
Serrano PE vs Petrolina
0:3
Sep 23, 2018 Pernambucano 2
Petrolina vs Serrano PE
2:0
Sep 2, 2018 Pernambucano 2
Serrano PE vs Petrolina
2:2
Sep 23, 2015 Pernambucano 2
Serrano PE vs Petrolina
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Petrolina 42 / 100
Serrano PE 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Petrolina Serrano PE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serrano PE's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Serrano PE has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Petrolina's goal record stands at 51% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Petrolina VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Petrolina

(Home)
22 Feb
Petrolina
1 : 3
Sport Recife
17 Feb
Jaguar
2 : 1
Petrolina
09 Feb
Petrolina
0 : 1
Retro
02 Feb
Petrolina
0 : 0
Central SC
30 Jan
Decisao
3 : 0
Petrolina
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Serrano PE

(Away)
25 Nov
Serrano PE
1 : 2
Aguia FC
18 Nov
Cabense
4 : 0
Serrano PE
05 Nov
Serrano PE
0 : 2
Ypiranga
28 Oct
Ipojuca
0 : 1
Serrano PE
22 Oct
Serrano PE
1 : 1
Barreiros FC
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo Arcoverde 5 4 0 1 11:3 12
2 Decisao 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
3 Petrolina 5 2 2 1 12:3 8
4 1º de Maio 5 1 3 1 3:3 6
5 Pesqueira 5 1 2 2 8:5 5
6 Serrano PE 5 0 0 5 1:23 0
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2022 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Central SC 5 4 0 1 7:1 12
2 Maguary 5 3 1 1 7:3 10
3 Ypiranga 5 2 2 1 4:3 8
4 Belo Jardim 5 1 2 2 3:3 5
5 CA Porto 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
6 Cha Grande 5 0 1 4 0:10 1
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2022 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Torres 5 4 1 0 11:2 13
2 America PE 5 2 2 1 9:9 8
3 Vera Cruz 5 2 1 2 5:3 7
4 Academica Vitoria 5 2 0 3 5:5 6
5 Sete de Setembro (PE) 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
6 Santa Fe PE 5 0 2 3 2:9 2
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2022 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico PE 6 5 1 0 15:4 16
2 Ipojuca 6 5 0 1 14:3 15
3 Ferroviario do Cabo 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
4 Centro Limoeirense 6 2 2 2 11:5 8
5 Jaguar 6 2 0 4 7:17 6
6 Cabense 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
7 Timbauba FC 6 0 0 6 0:18 0
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2022 (Second stage)