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Petrolul Berca vs CSM Ramnicu Sarat - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 3
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Petrolul Berca host CSM Ramnicu Sarat in the Liga 3 - Seria 3. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. CSM Ramnicu Sarat have shipped 2.86 goals a game lately, while Petrolul Berca have conceded 2.22 and scored 2.78. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (2.56 xG vs 1.31) point toward Petrolul Berca. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Petrolul Berca
15%
Draws
39%
CSM Ramnicu Sarat
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Petrolul Berca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CSM Ramnicu Sarat lately — more wins on the board than Petrolul Berca.
  • Win probability leans Petrolul Berca's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Petrolul Berca Clean Sheet 18%
CSM Ramnicu Sarat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Petrolul Berca CSM Ramnicu Sarat
Matches Played 9 29
Wins 5 6
Draws 1 7
Losses 3 16
Goals Scored 2.78 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.22 2.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Petrolul Berca 85 / 100
CSM Ramnicu Sarat 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Petrolul Berca CSM Ramnicu Sarat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Petrolul Berca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Petrolul Berca's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 9 recent games.

CSM Ramnicu Sarat has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Petrolul Berca stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: CSM Ramnicu Sarat registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Petrolul Berca VS CSM Ramnicu Sarat
2.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Petrolul Berca

(Home)
03 Oct
Petrolul Berca
4 : 5
AS Vointa Crevedia
25 Sept
Blejoi
6 : 1
Petrolul Berca
22 Sept
Petrolul Berca
3 : 0
Progresul Draganesti
18 Sept
Viitorul Corbeanca
0 : 2
Petrolul Berca
12 Sept
Petrolul Berca
2 : 2
Tunari
Page 1 of 2

CSM Ramnicu Sarat

(Away)
09 Oct
CSM Ramnicu Sarat
3 : 2
CSO Plopeni
02 Oct
CSM Ramnicu Sarat
1 : 5
Flacara Moreni
26 Sept
FC Pucioasa
3 : 0
CSM Ramnicu Sarat
23 Sept
CSM Ramnicu Sarat
1 : 6
AS Vointa Crevedia
18 Sept
Blejoi
0 : 2
CSM Ramnicu Sarat
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flacara Moreni 8 7 1 0 27:7 22
2 Tunari 8 5 2 1 16:11 17
3 Blejoi 8 4 2 2 17:9 14
4 Petrolul Berca 7 4 1 2 18:15 13
5 Progresul Draganesti 8 3 3 2 13:14 12
6 AS Vointa Crevedia 7 3 1 3 17:14 10
7 CSO Plopeni 8 3 1 4 8:13 10
8 CSM Ramnicu Sarat 8 2 2 4 9:19 8
9 FC Pucioasa 7 1 3 3 6:6 6
10 Urban Titu 7 1 3 3 8:14 6
11 Viitorul Corbeanca 8 1 3 4 4:10 6
12 Paulesti 8 0 2 6 4:15 2
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 3 (Relegation Group)