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Petrolul Potcoava vs Calimanesti

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 6 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Petrolul Potcoava play Calimanesti in the Liga 3 - Seria 6 2023/2024. Petrolul Potcoava are favorites here. Recently, Petrolul Potcoava averaged 1.26 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Calimanesti averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.57 conceded. In past meetings, Petrolul Potcoava won 3, Calimanesti won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 18, 2024 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Petrolul Potcoava and 1.19 for Calimanesti. This points to a Petrolul Potcoava double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%
Petrolul Potcoava
15%
Draws
19%
Calimanesti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Petrolul Potcoava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • Petrolul Potcoava picked up more points recently compared to Calimanesti.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Petrolul Potcoava Clean Sheet 20%
Calimanesti Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Petrolul Potcoava Calimanesti
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 11 3
Draws 7 3
Losses 16 24
Goals Scored 1.26 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 6
Petrolul Potcoava vs Calimanesti
1:2
Apr 20, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 6
Calimanesti vs Petrolul Potcoava
0:1
Nov 25, 2023 Liga 3 - Seria 6
Petrolul Potcoava vs Calimanesti
4:1
Sep 23, 2023 Liga 3 - Seria 6
Calimanesti vs Petrolul Potcoava
0:2
May 20, 2023 Liga 3 - Seria 6
Calimanesti vs Petrolul Potcoava
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Petrolul Potcoava 63 / 100
Calimanesti 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Petrolul Potcoava Calimanesti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Petrolul Potcoava Win (1)
Secondary Pick Petrolul Potcoava & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.5%
1.72
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Petrolul Potcoava attacking → ← attacking Calimanesti

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Petrolul Potcoava scored in 59% of their last 34 games.

Calimanesti let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Petrolul Potcoava went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Calimanesti lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 12
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cetatea Turnu Magurele18114339:1337
2Ramnicu Valcea18112526:1635
3Vedita Colonesti18103531:1833
4Viitorul Daesti1895434:2832
5Flacara Horezu1882829:2726
6Sporting Rosiori1882832:2724
7Unirea Bascov1855815:2020
8Curtisoara1854917:3419
9Petrolul Potcoava18441017:2816
10Calimanesti18231312:419