Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Petrolul vs Otelul

Romania Romania

Superliga 2025/2026 Stadionul Ilie Oană, Ploiesti
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Bordun D.
20'
Iacob P.
24' Event
Pedro N.
Assist: Andrezinho

AI Match Summary

The Superliga 2025/2026 game between Petrolul and Otelul finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Otelul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Petrolul
11%
Draws
80%
Otelul
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Otelul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Petrolul haven't matched Otelul's recent run of results.
  • Otelul are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Petrolul Clean Sheet 10%
Otelul Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Petrolul Otelul
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.75 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 Superliga
Petrolul vs Otelul
1:5
Nov 8, 2025 Superliga
Petrolul vs Otelul
0:0
Jul 13, 2025 Superliga
Otelul vs Petrolul
0:0
May 12, 2025 Superliga
Petrolul vs Otelul
1:3
Jan 18, 2025 Superliga
Otelul vs Petrolul
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Petrolul Compare

Top Goalscorer Ignat C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Otelul Compare

Top Goalscorer Bordun D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pedro N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Petrolul 10 / 100
Otelul 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Petrolul Otelul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OTE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Petrolul's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Otelul's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Petrolul remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Petrolul VS Otelul
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Petrolul

(Home)
24 Jul
Campionii Arges
1 : 0
Petrolul
19 Jul
Petrolul
1 : 0
Dinamo Bucuresti
11 Jul
Petrolul
2 : 2
Chindia Targoviste
10 Jul
Petrolul
1 : 1
FC ASA Tg. Mures
03 Jul
Arka Gdynia
2 : 0
Petrolul
Page 1 of 6

Otelul

(Away)
24 Jul
FC UTA Arad
2 : 2
Otelul
18 Jul
Otelul
2 : 1
CFR Cluj
11 Jul
Otelul
3 : 1
FC Bacau
03 Jul
Farul Constanta
0 : 0
Otelul
18 May
Petrolul
1 : 5
Otelul
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
7FC UTA Arad952214:739
8FCSB942313:937
9Otelul942317:1535
10FC Botosani933313:1733
11Miercurea Ciuc952211:833
12Petrolul92349:1525
13Farul Constanta91358:1125
14FC Hermannstadt934213:1025
15Unirea Slobozia923411:1322
16Metaloglobus Bucharest924310:1416
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Superliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Main)