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Petrolul vs Sepsi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Romanian Cup Stadionul Ilie Oană, Ploiesti
Wed, Dec 2, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Romanian Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Sepsi have shipped 1.11 goals a game lately, while Petrolul have conceded 1.57 and scored 1.5. Head-to-head, Petrolul have won 2 to Sepsi's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Oct 17, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.69 - 1.13) back Petrolul to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Petrolul
30%
Draws
16%
Sepsi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Petrolul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Petrolul's 1.5 goals per match outpaces what Sepsi have produced (1).
  • Petrolul are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Petrolul, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Petrolul Clean Sheet 20%
Sepsi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Petrolul Sepsi
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 Superliga
Petrolul vs Sepsi
1:1
Oct 11, 2025 Club Friendly
Sepsi vs Petrolul
2:2
Apr 4, 2025 Superliga
Petrolul vs Sepsi
2:1
Mar 8, 2025 Superliga
Petrolul vs Sepsi
1:0
Nov 2, 2024 Superliga
Sepsi vs Petrolul
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Petrolul 76 / 100
Sepsi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Petrolul Sepsi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Petrolul Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Petrolul scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Sepsi has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Petrolul remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Petrolul VS Sepsi
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Petrolul

(Home)
23 Oct
FC Botosani
1 : 3
Petrolul
17 Oct
Petrolul
1 : 1
Sepsi
11 Oct
Farul Constanta
3 : 1
Petrolul
03 Oct
Chindia Targoviste
1 : 0
Petrolul
02 Oct
Petrolul
3 : 2
Afumati
Page 1 of 6

Sepsi

(Away)
26 Oct
Sepsi
0 : 5
Univ. Craiova
17 Oct
Petrolul
1 : 1
Sepsi
09 Oct
Sepsi
0 : 2
Dinamo Bucuresti
26 Sept
Sepsi
1 : 1
Gloria Bistrita
18 Sept
FC UTA Arad
1 : 0
Sepsi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC UTA Arad 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Rapid Bucuresti 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Corvinul Hunedoara 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 FC Botosani 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
5 Politehnica Timisoara 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
6 Minerul Lupeni 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Concordia 1 1 0 0 5:2 3
2 CFR Cluj 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Universitatea Cluj 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Petrolul 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
5 Sepsi 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
6 Progresul Spartac 1 0 0 1 2:5 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FCSB 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Miercurea Ciuc 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 FC Bihor 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
4 CSM Corona Brasov 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
5 Gloria Bistrita 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
6 Campionii Arges 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Bucuresti 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Univ. Craiova 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Voluntari 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 FC Bacau 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
5 Chindia Targoviste 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
6 Sporting Liesti 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)