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Petrovac vs Kom Podgorica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Montenegro Montenegro

Montenegrin Cup Stadion Mitar Mico Golis, Petrovac
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Montenegrin Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Kom Podgorica have shipped 1.29 goals a game lately, while Petrovac have conceded 1.1 and scored 0.76. Past meetings favor Petrovac slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2020, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.76 xG vs 1.13) point toward Kom Podgorica. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Petrovac
35%
Draws
49%
Kom Podgorica
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kom Podgorica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Kom Podgorica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Kom Podgorica's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Kom Podgorica arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Petrovac, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Petrovac Clean Sheet 20%
Kom Podgorica Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Petrovac Kom Podgorica
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 9
Draws 11 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.76 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2020 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Petrovac vs Kom Podgorica
1:0
Feb 18, 2020 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Kom Podgorica vs Petrovac
0:1
Oct 5, 2019 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Petrovac vs Kom Podgorica
2:1
Aug 10, 2019 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Kom Podgorica vs Petrovac
3:2
May 26, 2018 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Petrovac vs Kom Podgorica
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Petrovac 24 / 100
Kom Podgorica 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Petrovac Kom Podgorica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kom Podgorica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kom Podgorica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Petrovac's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Petrovac has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Petrovac VS Kom Podgorica
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Petrovac

(Home)
28 Sept
Petrovac
0 : 1
Mladost DG
18 Sept
Buducnost
4 : 1
Petrovac
14 Sept
Petrovac
1 : 2
Arsenal Tivat
09 Sept
Decic
1 : 1
Petrovac
04 Sept
Petrovac
0 : 0
Sutjeska
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Kom Podgorica

(Away)
04 Oct
Budva
1 : 1
Kom Podgorica
30 Sept
Zeta
1 : 3
Kom Podgorica
26 Sept
Kom Podgorica
0 : 1
Iskra Danilovgrad
20 Sept
Rudar
1 : 1
Kom Podgorica
12 Sept
Kom Podgorica
0 : 0
Berane
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Lovcen -
Jezero -
Sutjeska -
Decic -
Petrovac -
Kom Podgorica -
Arsenal Tivat -
Grbalj -
Mladost DG -
Iskra Danilovgrad -
Berane -
Jedinstvo -
Bokelj -
Buducnost -
Otrant -
Mornar Bar -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -