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Pevidem vs GD Joane

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025
Pevidem Logo

Pevidem

1 - 0
FT
GD Joane Logo

GD Joane

Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Inoue A.
55'
Inoue A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pevidem in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pevidem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Pevidem
20%
Draws
40%
GD Joane
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Pevidem have won more games recently than GD Joane.
  • Win probability leans Pevidem's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Pevidem Clean Sheet 16%
GD Joane Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pevidem GD Joane
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 0.87 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Pevidem vs GD Joane
1:0
Sep 1, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
GD Joane vs Pevidem
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pevidem Compare

Top Goalscorer Inoue A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

GD Joane Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pevidem 41 / 100
GD Joane 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pevidem GD Joane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GD Joane has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Pevidem's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: GD Joane registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pevidem VS GD Joane
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pevidem

(Home)
30 Aug
Celoricense
1 : 0
Pevidem
13 Apr
Rebordosa
2 : 1
Pevidem
06 Apr
Pevidem
2 : 0
Os Sandinenses
30 Mar
Paredes
4 : 0
Pevidem
15 Mar
Pevidem
1 : 1
AD Limianos
Page 1 of 6

GD Joane

(Away)
13 Apr
Brito
2 : 1
GD Joane
06 Apr
GD Joane
0 : 3
GD Braganca
29 Mar
Vitoria Guimaraes B
3 : 2
GD Joane
16 Mar
GD Joane
2 : 1
Rebordosa
08 Mar
Os Sandinenses
0 : 0
GD Joane
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Guimaraes B 26 17 5 4 45:21 56
2 Paredes 26 16 4 6 51:21 52
3 GD Braganca 26 12 8 6 37:28 44
4 Rebordosa 26 12 6 8 39:25 42
5 Brito 26 12 4 10 41:40 40
6 SC Vianense 26 11 3 12 31:37 36
7 Tirsense 26 10 5 11 39:35 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 10 5 11 30:32 35
9 AD Limianos 26 8 10 8 37:36 34
10 GD Joane 26 7 7 12 26:38 28
11 Pevidem 26 7 7 12 23:34 28
12 Os Sandinenses 26 7 7 12 30:41 28
13 Dumiense 26 6 6 14 25:52 23
14 Atletico Arcos 26 6 5 15 24:38 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)