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Pevidem vs Paredes

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Marna J.
37' Event
Ferreira P.
40' Event
Araki D.

AI Match Summary

Pevidem in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pevidem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Pevidem
20%
Draws
56%
Paredes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paredes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Paredes have won more games recently than Pevidem.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Paredes taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Pevidem Clean Sheet 19%
Paredes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pevidem Paredes
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 8 17
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.9 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Paredes vs Pevidem
4:0
Dec 7, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Pevidem vs Paredes
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pevidem Compare

Top Goalscorer Marna J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Araki D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Paredes Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pevidem 20 / 100
Paredes 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pevidem Paredes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paredes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Pevidem scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Pevidem remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Paredes conceded in 59% of 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Pevidem VS Paredes
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pevidem

(Home)
13 Apr
Rebordosa
2 : 1
Pevidem
06 Apr
Pevidem
2 : 0
Os Sandinenses
30 Mar
Paredes
4 : 0
Pevidem
15 Mar
Pevidem
1 : 1
AD Limianos
09 Mar
Dumiense
0 : 0
Pevidem
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Paredes

(Away)
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2
Leca
15 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1
Paredes
07 Aug
Paredes
3 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes B
01 Aug
Paredes
4 : 2
Lusitania FC
22 Jul
AFS
2 : 4
Paredes
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Guimaraes B 26 17 5 4 45:21 56
2 Paredes 26 16 4 6 51:21 52
3 GD Braganca 26 12 8 6 37:28 44
4 Rebordosa 26 12 6 8 39:25 42
5 Brito 26 12 4 10 41:40 40
6 SC Vianense 26 11 3 12 31:37 36
7 Tirsense 26 10 5 11 39:35 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 10 5 11 30:32 35
9 AD Limianos 26 8 10 8 37:36 34
10 GD Joane 26 7 7 12 26:38 28
11 Pevidem 26 7 7 12 23:34 28
12 Os Sandinenses 26 7 7 12 30:41 28
13 Dumiense 26 6 6 14 25:52 23
14 Atletico Arcos 26 6 5 15 24:38 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)