Sport Picks

Stadium Background

PFC Sochi vs Rodina Moscow

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

PFC Sochi in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored PFC Sochi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
PFC Sochi
33%
Draws
40%
Rodina Moscow
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Rodina Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Rodina Moscow have won more games recently than PFC Sochi.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Rodina Moscow taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
PFC Sochi Clean Sheet 15%
Rodina Moscow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PFC Sochi Rodina Moscow
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Club Friendly
PFC Sochi vs Rodina Moscow
1:1
Feb 15, 2026 Club Friendly
PFC Sochi vs Rodina Moscow
3:2
Apr 6, 2025 FNL
Rodina Moscow vs PFC Sochi
3:1
Oct 19, 2024 FNL
PFC Sochi vs Rodina Moscow
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PFC Sochi 27 / 100
Rodina Moscow 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PFC Sochi Rodina Moscow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PFC Sochi scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Rodina Moscow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

PFC Sochi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PFC Sochi VS Rodina Moscow
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%