Sport Picks
PFC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
FNL Fisht Olympic Stadium, Sochi 
AI Match Summary
PFC Sochi host Shinnik Yaroslavl in the FNL. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: PFC Sochi at 1.48 goals for, 1.34 against; Shinnik Yaroslavl at 1.28 for, 0.93 against. Past meetings favor Shinnik Yaroslavl slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 12, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 0.88) point toward PFC Sochi. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and PFC Sochi come out ahead of Shinnik Yaroslavl on wins alone.
- PFC Sochi are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | PFC Sochi | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 16 |
| Losses | 10 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: PFC Sochi stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
PFC Sochi found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Shinnik Yaroslavl's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
PFC Sochi
(Home)Shinnik Yaroslavl
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 44:15 | 40 |
| 2 | PFC Sochi | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 26:15 | 32 |
| 3 | Torpedo Moscow | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Ural | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 25:11 | 28 |
| 5 | S. Kostroma | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 21:15 | 27 |
| 6 | Veles Moscow | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 20:19 | 27 |
| 7 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 20:15 | 23 |
| 8 | Ulyanovsk | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 21:22 | 21 |
| 9 | Ufa | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 21 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19:29 | 19 |
| 11 | R. Volgograd | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 23:18 | 19 |
| 12 | Chelyabinsk | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 19:26 | 15 |
| 13 | Yenisey | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16:30 | 14 |
| 14 | Leningradets | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12:26 | 14 |
| 15 | Kamaz | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 19:27 | 13 |
| 16 | Neftekhimik | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 11:22 | 13 |
| 17 | SKA Khabarovsk | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 18:28 | 10 |
| 18 | Tekstilshtik | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11:25 | 10 |
