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PFC Sochi vs Tyumen

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

PFC Sochi play Tyumen in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, PFC Sochi averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.82 conceded. Tyumen averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. In past meetings, PFC Sochi won 3, Tyumen won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 21, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for PFC Sochi and 1.56 for Tyumen. This points to a PFC Sochi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
PFC Sochi
32%
Draws
30%
Tyumen
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: PFC Sochi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • PFC Sochi picked up more points recently compared to Tyumen.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
PFC Sochi Clean Sheet 15%
Tyumen Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PFC Sochi Tyumen
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.54 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2026 Club Friendly
PFC Sochi vs Tyumen
2:2
Nov 17, 2024 FNL
Tyumen vs PFC Sochi
0:1
Sep 1, 2024 FNL
PFC Sochi vs Tyumen
3:0
Feb 19, 2024 Club Friendly
PFC Sochi vs Tyumen
2:1
Apr 7, 2019 FNL
PFC Sochi vs Tyumen
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PFC Sochi Compare

Top Goalscorer Ignatov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Tyumen Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolov R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Anoshin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PFC Sochi 37 / 100
Tyumen 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PFC Sochi Tyumen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: PFC Sochi or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

PFC Sochi attacking → ← attacking Tyumen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PFC Sochi scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Tyumen let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

PFC Sochi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tyumen lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 33
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63