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PFC Sochi vs Tyumen

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ignatov M.
32' Event
Bolov R.
46'
Sub
Dyupin Y. In: Degtev A.
Out: Dyupin Y.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between PFC Sochi and Tyumen finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
PFC Sochi
15%
Draws
45%
Tyumen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tyumen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and PFC Sochi come out ahead of Tyumen on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tyumen a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
PFC Sochi Clean Sheet 16%
Tyumen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PFC Sochi Tyumen
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 13 9
Draws 3 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.57 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2026 Club Friendly
PFC Sochi vs Tyumen
2:2
Nov 17, 2024 FNL
Tyumen vs PFC Sochi
0:1
Sep 1, 2024 FNL
PFC Sochi vs Tyumen
3:0
Feb 19, 2024 Club Friendly
PFC Sochi vs Tyumen
2:1
Apr 7, 2019 FNL
PFC Sochi vs Tyumen
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PFC Sochi Compare

Top Goalscorer Ignatov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Tyumen Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolov R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Anoshin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PFC Sochi 10 / 100
Tyumen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PFC Sochi Tyumen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tyumen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tyumen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.

PFC Sochi's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

PFC Sochi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

PFC Sochi VS Tyumen
2 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

PFC Sochi

(Home)
09 Sept
Dynamo Petersburg
2 : 0
PFC Sochi
05 Sept
PFC Sochi
0 : 1
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
30 Aug
PFC Sochi
2 : 1
Chelyabinsk
24 Aug
Kamaz
2 : 3
PFC Sochi
20 Aug
Neftekhimik
1 : 2
PFC Sochi
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Tyumen

(Away)
05 Sept
Tyumen
5 : 2
Dynamo Moscow 2
30 Aug
Tyumen
5 : 0
Irtysh Omsk
23 Aug
Zenit St Petersburg 2
1 : 1
Tyumen
16 Aug
Tyumen
4 : 3
Torpedo Miass
12 Aug
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
2 : 1
Tyumen
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