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PFC Sochi vs Ural - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Fisht Olympic Stadium, Sochi
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

PFC Sochi host Ural in the FNL. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. PFC Sochi have averaged 1.48 scored and 1.34 conceded recently, against Ural's 1.54 scored and 0.82 conceded. Past meetings favor PFC Sochi slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 9, 2025, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.25, favoring PFC Sochi. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
PFC Sochi
20%
Draws
28%
Ural
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PFC Sochi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and PFC Sochi come out ahead of Ural on wins alone.
  • Model gives PFC Sochi a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
PFC Sochi Clean Sheet 19%
Ural Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PFC Sochi Ural
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.48 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 FNL
PFC Sochi vs Ural
1:0
Jul 14, 2024 FNL
Ural vs PFC Sochi
2:0
Apr 21, 2024 Premier League
PFC Sochi vs Ural
2:2
Oct 22, 2023 Premier League
Ural vs PFC Sochi
1:4
Jun 3, 2023 Premier League
Ural vs PFC Sochi
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PFC Sochi 67 / 100
Ural 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PFC Sochi Ural

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PFC Sochi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PFC Sochi went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

PFC Sochi found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Ural's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

PFC Sochi VS Ural
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

PFC Sochi

(Home)
24 Oct
Tekstilshtik
1 : 3
PFC Sochi
16 Oct
R. Volgograd
0 : 1
PFC Sochi
11 Oct
PFC Sochi
1 : 0
Ufa
18 Sept
PFC Sochi
1 : 1
SKA Khabarovsk
14 Sept
Veles Moscow
1 : 2
PFC Sochi
Page 1 of 6

Ural

(Away)
18 Oct
Ural
1 : 2
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
10 Oct
Ural
1 : 2
Veles Moscow
26 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 2
Ural
18 Sept
Neftekhimik
0 : 1
Ural
14 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 : 1
Ural
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 14 12 1 1 43:15 37
2 PFC Sochi 14 9 2 3 23:14 29
3 Torpedo Moscow 15 8 4 3 27:12 28
4 S. Kostroma 14 8 3 3 20:13 27
5 Veles Moscow 15 8 3 4 20:18 27
6 Ural 14 7 4 3 22:10 25
7 Ufa 14 5 6 3 18:14 21
8 Shinnik Yaroslavl 14 4 8 2 18:14 20
9 R. Volgograd 15 5 4 6 23:18 19
10 Ulyanovsk 15 5 3 7 20:22 18
11 Arsenal Tula 14 4 4 6 15:26 16
12 Chelyabinsk 14 4 3 7 18:23 15
13 Yenisey 15 3 5 7 16:30 14
14 Kamaz 14 3 4 7 16:23 13
15 Leningradets 14 3 4 7 11:25 13
16 Neftekhimik 14 4 0 10 10:21 12
17 SKA Khabarovsk 15 2 4 9 18:28 10
18 Tekstilshtik 14 2 4 8 10:22 10
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)