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Stadium Background

Pharco FC vs Al Ahly

Egypt Egypt

League Cup Alexandria Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
El Shahat H.
32'
El Mallah Y.
38'
El Shahat H.

AI Match Summary

The League Cup game between Pharco FC and Al Ahly finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ahly.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Pharco FC
17%
Draws
70%
Al Ahly
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Al Ahly

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Ahly carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Al Ahly taking it.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal League Cup game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Pharco FC Clean Sheet 16%
Al Ahly Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pharco FC Al Ahly
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.63 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 League Cup
Pharco FC vs Al Ahly
1:4
Aug 15, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahly vs Pharco FC
4:1
May 28, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahly vs Pharco FC
6:0
Apr 17, 2025 League Cup
Al Ahly vs Pharco FC
1:2
Jan 22, 2025 Premier League
Pharco FC vs Al Ahly
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pharco FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Farhat M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Al Ahly Compare

Top Goalscorer El Shahat H.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Gradisar N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.69
Avg xA / game 1.03

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pharco FC 15 / 100
Al Ahly 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pharco FC Al Ahly

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AHL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Al Ahly's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Pharco FC scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Pharco FC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pharco FC VS Al Ahly
0.63 Goals Scored 1.86
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.14
63% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 71%
0% Over 3.5 14%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1El Gaish64117:313
2Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)63219:511
3Enppi63127:510
4Pharco FC63038:109
5Ghazl El Mahallah62224:48
6Al Ahly62047:96
7Ceramica Cleopatra61052:83
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Petrojet650115:515
2El Gouna641110:513
3Wadi Degla631212:610
4National Bank Egypt614111:77
5El Ismaily61235:75
6Modern Sport61233:75
7Pyramids61053:223
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Masry63215:311
2ZED FC63126:410
3Al Ittihad Alexandria61505:28
4Kahrabaa Ismailia615012:118
5Smouha62224:58
6Zamalek62137:97
7Haras El Hodood60244:92