Sport Picks
Philadelphia Union II vs CT United FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS Next Pro Subaru Park, Chester, PA 
Match Events
1'
1'
Lacy D.
Assist: Destin B.
4'
4'
Mora-Arias R.
6'
6'
Griffin J.
AI Match Summary
CT United FC in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored CT United FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Philadelphia Union II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- CT United FC average 2.18 goals a game right now, well clear of Philadelphia Union II's 1.38.
- Philadelphia Union II are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and CT United FC have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Philadelphia Union II Clean Sheet 10%
CT United FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Philadelphia Union II | CT United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 16 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 15 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 2.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs CT United FC
2:4
Apr 26, 2026 MLS Next Pro
CT United FC vs Philadelphia Union II
1:2
Mar 15, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs CT United FC
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Philadelphia Union II Compare
Top Goalscorer Korzeniowski S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
CT United FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Destin B.
2 Goals Assists Leader Lacy D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Philadelphia Union II 40 / 100
CT United FC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Philadelphia Union II CT United FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CT United FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Philadelphia Union II scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.
Solid form: Philadelphia Union II remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Philadelphia Union II VS CT United FC
1.88 Goals Scored 2.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Philadelphia Union II
(Home) 20 Sept
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 2 New York City II
13 Sept
Chicago Fire II
1 : 2 Philadelphia Union II
04 Sept
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 0 Columbus Crew 2
30 Aug
FC Cincinnati 2
2 : 3 Philadelphia Union II
23 Aug
Philadelphia Union II
2 : 4 CT United FC
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 2 New York City II
04 Sept
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 0 Columbus Crew 2
23 Aug
Philadelphia Union II
2 : 4 CT United FC
08 Aug
Philadelphia Union II
2 : 1 FC Cincinnati 2
12 Jul
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 0 Huntsville City
Page 1 of 4
CT United FC
(Away) 20 Sept
CT United FC
7 : 2 Inter Miami II
13 Sept
New York City II
1 : 0 CT United FC
08 Sept
Atlanta United 2
4 : 1 CT United FC
29 Aug
CT United FC
2 : 4 New York Red Bulls II
23 Aug
Philadelphia Union II
2 : 4 CT United FC
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
New York City II
1 : 0 CT United FC
08 Sept
Atlanta United 2
4 : 1 CT United FC
23 Aug
Philadelphia Union II
2 : 4 CT United FC
19 Aug
Crown Legacy
0 : 2 CT United FC
16 Aug
FC Cincinnati 2
2 : 3 CT United FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew 2 | 28 | 17 | 0 | 11 | 49:43 | 48 |
| 2 | New England Revolution II | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 47:42 | 48 |
| 3 | New York City II | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 50:44 | 47 |
| 4 | CT United FC | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 59:52 | 46 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls II | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 58:48 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 37:40 | 43 |
| 7 | Toronto FC II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 48:56 | 39 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 32:62 | 20 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 28 | 20 | 0 | 8 | 67:39 | 58 |
| 2 | Chattanooga | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 56:39 | 56 |
| 3 | Atlanta United 2 | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 62:46 | 48 |
| 4 | Huntsville City | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 5 | Orlando City B | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 55:56 | 44 |
| 6 | Chicago Fire II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 50:48 | 39 |
| 7 | Carolina Core | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | 40:53 | 31 |
| 8 | Inter Miami II | 28 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 30:74 | 15 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portland Timbers 2 | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 37:29 | 57 |
| 2 | Ventura County | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 58:36 | 53 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 50:48 | 45 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 51:36 | 42 |
| 5 | Tacoma Defiance | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 40:44 | 41 |
| 6 | Real Monarchs | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 38:55 | 33 |
| 7 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | 39:62 | 27 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 28 | 21 | 0 | 7 | 54:21 | 65 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 53:33 | 52 |
| 3 | Minnesota United 2 | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 43:39 | 45 |
| 4 | St. Louis City 2 | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 42:40 | 44 |
| 5 | North Texas | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 42:41 | 40 |
| 6 | Sporting Kansas City II | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 36:75 | 23 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 28:52 | 21 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 28 | 20 | 0 | 8 | 67:39 | 58 |
| 2 | Chattanooga | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 56:39 | 56 |
| 3 | Atlanta United 2 | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 62:46 | 48 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew 2 | 28 | 17 | 0 | 11 | 49:43 | 48 |
| 5 | New England Revolution II | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 47:42 | 48 |
| 6 | New York City II | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 50:44 | 47 |
| 7 | CT United FC | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 59:52 | 46 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls II | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 58:48 | 46 |
| 9 | Huntsville City | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 10 | Orlando City B | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 55:56 | 44 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 37:40 | 43 |
| 12 | Toronto FC II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 48:56 | 39 |
| 13 | Chicago Fire II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 50:48 | 39 |
| 14 | Carolina Core | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | 40:53 | 31 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 32:62 | 20 |
| 16 | Inter Miami II | 28 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 30:74 | 15 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 28 | 21 | 0 | 7 | 54:21 | 65 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers 2 | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 37:29 | 57 |
| 3 | Ventura County | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 58:36 | 53 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 53:33 | 52 |
| 5 | Minnesota United 2 | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 43:39 | 45 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 50:48 | 45 |
| 7 | St. Louis City 2 | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 42:40 | 44 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 51:36 | 42 |
| 9 | Tacoma Defiance | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 40:44 | 41 |
| 10 | North Texas | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 42:41 | 40 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 38:55 | 33 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | 39:62 | 27 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 36:75 | 23 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 28:52 | 21 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
