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Philadelphia Union II vs FC Cincinnati 2

USA USA

MLS Next Pro 2025 Subaru Park, Chester, PA
Philadelphia Union II Logo

Philadelphia Union II

2 - 1
FT
FC Cincinnati 2 Logo

FC Cincinnati 2

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Korzeniowski S.
Assist: LeBlanc K.
37' Event
Davila A.
Assist: Mangione P.
60'
Sub
Chavez A. In: Ramos Y.
Out: Chavez A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Philadelphia Union II advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Philadelphia Union II
28%
Draws
50%
FC Cincinnati 2
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: FC Cincinnati 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • FC Cincinnati 2 haven't matched Philadelphia Union II's recent run of results.
  • Model gives FC Cincinnati 2 a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Philadelphia Union II have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Philadelphia Union II, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Philadelphia Union II have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Philadelphia Union II Clean Sheet 18%
FC Cincinnati 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Philadelphia Union II FC Cincinnati 2
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 1 0
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs FC Cincinnati 2
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs FC Cincinnati 2
2:1
Aug 31, 2025 MLS Next Pro
FC Cincinnati 2 vs Philadelphia Union II
1:2
Aug 3, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs FC Cincinnati 2
1:0
Jun 3, 2025 MLS Next Pro
FC Cincinnati 2 vs Philadelphia Union II
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Philadelphia Union II Compare

Top Goalscorer Korzeniowski S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FC Cincinnati 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Davila A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philadelphia Union II 23 / 100
FC Cincinnati 2 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Philadelphia Union II FC Cincinnati 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cincinnati 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Philadelphia Union II scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Philadelphia Union II stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Philadelphia Union II VS FC Cincinnati 2
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Philadelphia Union II

(Home)
25 Jul
Chattanooga
4 : 0
Philadelphia Union II
18 Jul
Columbus Crew 2
2 : 0
Philadelphia Union II
12 Jul
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 0
Huntsville City
05 Jul
New England Revolution II
0 : 4
Philadelphia Union II
28 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0
Philadelphia Union II
Page 1 of 6

FC Cincinnati 2

(Away)
26 Jul
FC Cincinnati 2
3 : 2
New England Revolution II
17 Jul
Toronto FC II
3 : 1
FC Cincinnati 2
12 Jul
FC Cincinnati 2
1 : 2
Orlando City B
05 Jul
FC Cincinnati 2
3 : 2
New York Red Bulls II
28 Jun
FC Cincinnati 2
1 : 0
Inter Miami II
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
New York Red Bulls II5
Carolina Core1
New England Revolution II0
Chicago Fire II1
Philadelphia Union II2
FC Cincinnati 21
Chattanooga0
Huntsville City2
San Jose Earthquakes II3
North Texas0
Colorado Rapids 23
Vancouver Whitecaps 22
St. Louis City 23
Ventura County0
Real Monarchs1
Minnesota United 22
Quarter-finals
New York Red Bulls II5
Chicago Fire II3
Philadelphia Union II1
Huntsville City0
San Jose Earthquakes II2
Colorado Rapids 24
St. Louis City 20
Minnesota United 22
Semi-finals
New York Red Bulls II2
Philadelphia Union II1
Colorado Rapids 22
Minnesota United 21
Final
New York Red Bulls II4
Colorado Rapids 23