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Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Subaru Park, Chester, PA
Philadelphia Union Logo

Philadelphia Union

2 - 0
FT
CF Montreal Logo

CF Montreal

Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Lukic J.
13'
Synchuk G.
24'
Damiani B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Philadelphia Union and CF Montreal finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Philadelphia Union.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Philadelphia Union
15%
Draws
24%
CF Montreal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Philadelphia Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Philadelphia Union carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Philadelphia Union a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Philadelphia Union here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Philadelphia Union Clean Sheet 20%
CF Montreal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Philadelphia Union CF Montreal
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.07 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 MLS
Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal
2:0
Apr 11, 2026 MLS
CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union
1:2
Feb 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal
2:4
Jul 16, 2025 MLS
Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal
2:1
May 3, 2025 MLS
CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Philadelphia Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Jean Jacques D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sullivan C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

CF Montreal Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philadelphia Union 85 / 100
CF Montreal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Philadelphia Union CF Montreal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Philadelphia Union Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Philadelphia Union found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

CF Montreal let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Philadelphia Union has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Philadelphia Union VS CF Montreal
3 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Philadelphia Union

(Home)
26 Sept
Philadelphia Union
4 : 2
Orlando City
20 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 4
Philadelphia Union
14 Sept
San Diego FC
0 : 5
Philadelphia Union
09 Sept
Philadelphia Union
5 : 0
FC Cincinnati
05 Sept
Philadelphia Union
2 : 0
CF Montreal
Page 1 of 6

CF Montreal

(Away)
26 Sept
CF Montreal
3 : 1
FC Cincinnati
19 Sept
CF Montreal
0 : 2
Columbus Crew
16 Sept
CF Montreal
2 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Sept
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0
CF Montreal
09 Sept
CF Montreal
1 : 2
Charlotte FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Chicago Fire 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)