Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CF Montreal in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored CF Montreal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Philadelphia Union
28%
Draws
50%
CF Montreal
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: CF Montreal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • CF Montreal have won more games recently than Philadelphia Union.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on CF Montreal taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Philadelphia Union have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Philadelphia Union Clean Sheet 10%
CF Montreal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Philadelphia Union CF Montreal
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 MLS
CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union
1:2
Feb 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal
2:4
Jul 16, 2025 MLS
Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal
2:1
May 3, 2025 MLS
CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union
1:2
Feb 14, 2025 Club Friendly
CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philadelphia Union 22 / 100
CF Montreal 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Philadelphia Union CF Montreal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CFM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CF Montreal has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Philadelphia Union found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Philadelphia Union remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Philadelphia Union VS CF Montreal
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%