Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Philippines U22 vs Indonesia U22

Asia Asia

Southeast Asian Games
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Banatao O.

AI Match Summary

The Southeast Asian Games game between Philippines U22 and Indonesia U22 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Philippines U22.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Philippines U22
15%
Draws
57%
Indonesia U22
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Indonesia U22

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Indonesia U22 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Indonesia U22's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Southeast Asian Games form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Philippines U22 Clean Sheet 10%
Indonesia U22 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Philippines U22 Indonesia U22
Matches Played 20 18
Wins 3 13
Draws 2 2
Losses 15 3
Goals Scored 0.6 2.17
Goals Conceded 2.9 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 8, 2025 Southeast Asian Games
Philippines U22 vs Indonesia U22
1:0
Apr 29, 2023 Southeast Asian Games
Indonesia U22 vs Philippines U22
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Philippines U22 Compare

Top Goalscorer Banatao O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Indonesia U22 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philippines U22 10 / 100
Indonesia U22 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Philippines U22 Indonesia U22

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indonesia U22 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indonesia U22 let in goals in 61% of their last 18 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Philippines U22 scored in 50% of their last 20 outings.

Philippines U22 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Philippines U22 VS Indonesia U22
0.63 Goals Scored 3
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Philippines U22

(Home)
18 Dec
Philippines U22
1 : 2
Malaysia U22
15 Dec
Vietnam U22
2 : 0
Philippines U22
08 Dec
Philippines U22
1 : 0
Indonesia U22
05 Dec
Myanmar U22
0 : 2
Philippines U22
10 May
Philippines U22
0 : 1
Myanmar U22
Page 1 of 4

Indonesia U22

(Away)
12 Dec
Indonesia U22
3 : 1
Myanmar U22
08 Dec
Philippines U22
1 : 0
Indonesia U22
16 May
Indonesia U22
5 : 2
Thailand U22
13 May
Indonesia U22
3 : 2
Vietnam U22
10 May
Cambodia U22
1 : 2
Indonesia U22
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U22 2 2 0 0 9:1 6
2 Timor-Leste U22 2 1 0 1 4:7 3
3 Singapore U22 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - Southeast Asian Games (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U22 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Malaysia U22 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
3 Laos U22 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Southeast Asian Games (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Philippines U22 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Indonesia U22 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
3 Myanmar U22 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - Southeast Asian Games (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams