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Stadium Background

Philippines U22 vs Malaysia U22

Asia Asia

Southeast Asian Games
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Hakimi D.
36' Event
Azim H.
Own Goal
43' Event
Azim H.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Philippines U22
15%
Draws
51%
Malaysia U22
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malaysia U22

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Malaysia U22 come out ahead of Philippines U22 on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Malaysia U22 taking it.
  • Malaysia U22 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Malaysia U22, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Philippines U22 Clean Sheet 10%
Malaysia U22 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Philippines U22 Malaysia U22
Matches Played 20 19
Wins 3 11
Draws 2 1
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.6 2.47
Goals Conceded 2.9 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 18, 2025 Southeast Asian Games
Philippines U22 vs Malaysia U22
1:2
Jun 25, 2012 AFC Asian Cup U23
Malaysia U22 vs Philippines U22
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Philippines U22 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Malaysia U22 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hakimi D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Azim H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philippines U22 10 / 100
Malaysia U22 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Philippines U22 Malaysia U22

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malaysia U22 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Malaysia U22 let in goals in 74% of their last 19 matches.

Philippines U22's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Philippines U22 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Philippines U22 VS Malaysia U22
0.88 Goals Scored 2.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Philippines U22

(Home)
18 Dec
Philippines U22
1 : 2
Malaysia U22
15 Dec
Vietnam U22
2 : 0
Philippines U22
08 Dec
Philippines U22
1 : 0
Indonesia U22
05 Dec
Myanmar U22
0 : 2
Philippines U22
10 May
Philippines U22
0 : 1
Myanmar U22
Page 1 of 4

Malaysia U22

(Away)
18 Dec
Philippines U22
1 : 2
Malaysia U22
15 Dec
Thailand U22
1 : 0
Malaysia U22
11 Dec
Vietnam U22
2 : 0
Malaysia U22
06 Dec
Malaysia U22
4 : 1
Laos U22
11 May
Singapore U22
0 : 7
Malaysia U22
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Vietnam U22 2
Philippines U22 0
Thailand U22 1
Malaysia U22 0
Final
Vietnam U22 3
Thailand U22 2
Philippines U22 1
Malaysia U22 2