Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Philippines vs Myanmar

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship New Clark City Athletics Stadium, Capas
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Oo K.
11'
Reyes S.
21'
Lwin M. M.

AI Match Summary

Myanmar in this ASEAN Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Myanmar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Philippines
15%
Draws
42%
Myanmar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Philippines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Philippines at 1.57 per game, Myanmar at 1.53.
  • Model gives Philippines a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Philippines Clean Sheet 16%
Myanmar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Philippines Myanmar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.57 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 ASEAN Championship
Philippines vs Myanmar
1:4
Jun 9, 2026 Friendly International
Philippines vs Myanmar
5:1
Dec 12, 2024 ASEAN Championship
Philippines vs Myanmar
1:1
Dec 18, 2021 ASEAN Championship
Myanmar vs Philippines
2:3
Sep 6, 2014 Friendly International
Philippines vs Myanmar
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Philippines Compare

Top Goalscorer Gayoso J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Myanmar Compare

Top Goalscorer Paing T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Oo K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philippines 84 / 100
Myanmar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Philippines Myanmar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Philippines Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Myanmar has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Philippines scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Myanmar's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Philippines VS Myanmar
3.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Philippines

(Home)
08 Aug
Malaysia
1 : 0
Philippines
04 Aug
Philippines
0 : 1
Thailand
01 Aug
Laos
1 : 4
Philippines
28 Jul
Philippines
1 : 4
Myanmar
09 Jun
Philippines
5 : 1
Myanmar
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Myanmar

(Away)
08 Aug
Thailand
2 : 0
Myanmar
04 Aug
Myanmar
7 : 2
Laos
28 Jul
Philippines
1 : 4
Myanmar
25 Jul
Myanmar
1 : 2
Malaysia
18 Jul
Vietnam
4 : 0
Myanmar
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 4 3 1 0 13:1 10
2 Singapore 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Indonesia 4 2 1 1 9:5 7
4 Cambodia 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
5 Timor-Leste 4 0 0 4 0:15 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 4 4 0 0 10:0 12
2 Malaysia 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
3 Myanmar 4 2 0 2 12:7 6
4 Philippines 4 1 0 3 5:7 3
5 Laos 4 0 0 4 3:20 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship (Play Offs)