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Philippines vs Myanmar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship New Clark City Athletics Stadium, Capas
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Oo K.
11'
Reyes S.
21'
Lwin M. M.

AI Match Summary

Myanmar in this ASEAN Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Myanmar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Philippines
15%
Draws
59%
Myanmar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Myanmar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Myanmar haven't matched Philippines's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Myanmar a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Philippines Clean Sheet 10%
Myanmar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Philippines Myanmar
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.67 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 ASEAN Championship
Philippines vs Myanmar
1:4
Jun 9, 2026 Friendly International
Philippines vs Myanmar
5:1
Dec 12, 2024 ASEAN Championship
Philippines vs Myanmar
1:1
Dec 18, 2021 ASEAN Championship
Myanmar vs Philippines
2:3
Sep 6, 2014 Friendly International
Philippines vs Myanmar
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Philippines Compare

Top Goalscorer Gayoso J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Myanmar Compare

Top Goalscorer Paing T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Oo K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philippines 26 / 100
Myanmar 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Philippines Myanmar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Myanmar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Myanmar has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Philippines scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Philippines stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Philippines VS Myanmar
2.25 Goals Scored 2.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Philippines

(Home)
02 Oct
Thailand
1 : 2
Philippines
29 Sept
Philippines
2 : 2
Pakistan
26 Sept
Vietnam
1 : 0
Philippines
08 Aug
Malaysia
1 : 0
Philippines
04 Aug
Philippines
0 : 1
Thailand
Page 1 of 6

Myanmar

(Away)
27 Sept
Cambodia
1 : 0
Myanmar
24 Sept
Myanmar
2 : 0
Timor-Leste
08 Aug
Thailand
2 : 0
Myanmar
04 Aug
Myanmar
7 : 2
Laos
28 Jul
Philippines
1 : 4
Myanmar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 4 3 1 0 13:1 10
2 Singapore 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Indonesia 4 2 1 1 9:5 7
4 Cambodia 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
5 Timor-Leste 4 0 0 4 0:15 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 4 4 0 0 10:0 12
2 Malaysia 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
3 Myanmar 4 2 0 2 12:7 6
4 Philippines 4 1 0 3 5:7 3
5 Laos 4 0 0 4 3:20 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship (Play Offs)