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Philippines vs Pakistan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

FIFA ASEAN Cup Si Jalak Harupat Stadium, Bandung
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Reyes S.
32' Event
Kristensen B.
(Penalty)
40'
Ali U.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. The second leg ended 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Philippines
20%
Draws
51%
Pakistan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pakistan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Pakistan haven't matched Philippines's recent run of results.
  • Philippines are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Philippines have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Philippines, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Philippines Clean Sheet 20%
Pakistan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Philippines Pakistan
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.77 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 FIFA ASEAN Cup
Philippines vs Pakistan
2:2
Oct 15, 2013 Friendly International
Philippines vs Pakistan
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Philippines Compare

Top Goalscorer Reyes S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Pakistan Compare

Top Goalscorer Khan A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arshad A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philippines 42 / 100
Pakistan 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Philippines Pakistan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Philippines found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Pakistan let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Philippines stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Philippines VS Pakistan
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Philippines

(Home)
02 Oct
Thailand
1 : 2
Philippines
29 Sept
Philippines
2 : 2
Pakistan
26 Sept
Vietnam
1 : 0
Philippines
08 Aug
Malaysia
1 : 0
Philippines
04 Aug
Philippines
0 : 1
Thailand
Page 1 of 7

Pakistan

(Away)
02 Oct
Vietnam
4 : 2
Pakistan
29 Sept
Philippines
2 : 2
Pakistan
26 Sept
Pakistan
0 : 4
Thailand
10 Jun
Pakistan
2 : 0
Afghanistan
07 Jun
Afghanistan
0 : 2
Pakistan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia 3 2 1 0 11:2 7
2 Malaysia 3 2 1 0 9:0 7
3 Singapore 3 1 0 2 1:8 3
4 Bangladesh 3 0 0 3 2:13 0
Promotion - FIFA ASEAN Cup (Division 1 - Play Offs)
Promotion - FIFA ASEAN Cup (Division 1 - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 3 2 0 1 7:2 6
2 Vietnam 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Philippines 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Pakistan 3 0 1 2 4:10 1
Promotion - FIFA ASEAN Cup (Division 1 - Play Offs)
Promotion - FIFA ASEAN Cup (Division 1 - Play Offs)