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Phnom Penh Crown vs Shan United

Asia Asia

AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 RSN Stadium
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Match Events

11' Event
Khant Myat Kaung
Assist: Sekyi M.
28'
Mauricio
31'
Bong S.

AI Match Summary

Phnom Penh Crown in this AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Phnom Penh Crown.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Phnom Penh Crown
6%
Draws
90%
Shan United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Shan United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shan United lately — more wins on the board than Phnom Penh Crown.
  • Shan United are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Phnom Penh Crown have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Phnom Penh Crown Clean Sheet 10%
Shan United Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Phnom Penh Crown Shan United
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 18
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1 4
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2025 AFC Challenge League
Phnom Penh Crown vs Shan United
3:1
Dec 14, 2023 AFC Cup
Shan United vs Phnom Penh Crown
2:1
Oct 5, 2023 AFC Cup
Phnom Penh Crown vs Shan United
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Phnom Penh Crown Compare

Top Goalscorer Dyer M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tellez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Shan United Compare

Top Goalscorer Khant Myat Kaung
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Phnom Penh Crown 10 / 100
Shan United 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Phnom Penh Crown Shan United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Phnom Penh Crown scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Phnom Penh Crown remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Shan United has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Phnom Penh Crown VS Shan United
1 Goals Scored 4
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.4
88% Over 1.5 80%
75% Over 2.5 80%
25% Over 3.5 60%

League Standings

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PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dewa United32109:27
2Phnom Penh Crown32107:47
3Taiwan Steel31024:83
4Shan United30033:90