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Phnom Penh Crown vs Svay Rieng Prediction & H2H Stats

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AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 RSN Stadium, Phnom Penh
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Match Events

3' Event
Dyer M.
Assist: Yi-young Park
20'
Pryadun M.
29' Event
Peprah K.
Assist: Fujii R.

AI Match Summary

Svay Rieng in this AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Phnom Penh Crown
30%
Draws
33%
Svay Rieng
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Phnom Penh Crown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Phnom Penh Crown haven't matched Svay Rieng's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Svay Rieng arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Svay Rieng, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Svay Rieng have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Phnom Penh Crown Clean Sheet 11%
Svay Rieng Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Phnom Penh Crown Svay Rieng
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 17
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.53 2.27
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 CPL
Svay Rieng vs Phnom Penh Crown
1:2
Apr 4, 2026 CPL
Phnom Penh Crown vs Svay Rieng
1:4
Mar 12, 2026 AFC Challenge League
Svay Rieng vs Phnom Penh Crown
2:1
Mar 5, 2026 AFC Challenge League
Phnom Penh Crown vs Svay Rieng
1:4
Jan 18, 2026 CPL
Phnom Penh Crown vs Svay Rieng
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Phnom Penh Crown Compare

Top Goalscorer Dyer M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

Svay Rieng Compare

Top Goalscorer Peprah K.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.66
Avg xA / game 1.02

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Phnom Penh Crown 35 / 100
Svay Rieng 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Phnom Penh Crown Svay Rieng

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Svay Rieng Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Phnom Penh Crown scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Phnom Penh Crown has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Svay Rieng conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Phnom Penh Crown VS Svay Rieng
1.57 Goals Scored 2.38
1.29 Goals Conceded 2.63
86% Over 1.5 100%
71% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Phnom Penh Crown

(Home)
17 Sept
Phnom Penh Crown
2 : 1
Kuching City FC
12 Sept
Angkor Tiger
2 : 2
Phnom Penh Crown
05 Sept
Phnom Penh Crown
2 : 2
NagaWorld
17 May
Svay Rieng
1 : 2
Phnom Penh Crown
10 May
Phnom Penh Crown
3 : 0
NagaWorld
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Svay Rieng

(Away)
20 Sept
Dangkor Senchey
1 : 1
Svay Rieng
17 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 0
Svay Rieng
12 Sept
Svay Rieng
4 : 0
Tiffy Army
06 Sept
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey
0 : 3
Svay Rieng
30 Aug
Svay Rieng
2 : 1
Visakha
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Al Ansar 0
Muras United 3
Al Shabab 3
Al Kuwait 5
Svay Rieng 6
Phnom Penh Crown 2
Dewa United 2
Manila Digger 3
Semi-finals
Muras United 1
Al Kuwait 2
Svay Rieng 4
Manila Digger 1
Final
Al Kuwait 4
Svay Rieng 3