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Phnom Penh Crown vs Tiffy Army

Cambodia Cambodia

CPL 2025/2026 RSN Stadium, Phnom Penh
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Match Events

14'
Mizuno H.
15' Event
Dyer M.
(Penalty)
22' Event
Chhin V.
Assist: Bong S.

AI Match Summary

The CPL 2025/2026 game between Phnom Penh Crown and Tiffy Army finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Phnom Penh Crown.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Phnom Penh Crown
20%
Draws
0%
Tiffy Army
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Phnom Penh Crown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Phnom Penh Crown come out ahead of Tiffy Army on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Phnom Penh Crown's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular CPL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Phnom Penh Crown here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Phnom Penh Crown Clean Sheet 68%
Tiffy Army Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Phnom Penh Crown Tiffy Army
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 1.53 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.4 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 27, 2025 CPL
Phnom Penh Crown vs Tiffy Army
3:2
Aug 23, 2025 CPL
Tiffy Army vs Phnom Penh Crown
1:1
Nov 23, 2024 CPL
Phnom Penh Crown vs Tiffy Army
3:1
Aug 17, 2024 CPL
Tiffy Army vs Phnom Penh Crown
1:2
Feb 18, 2024 CPL
Phnom Penh Crown vs Tiffy Army
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Phnom Penh Crown Compare

Top Goalscorer Chhin V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dyer M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Tiffy Army Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekejiuba V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kinoshita R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Phnom Penh Crown 95 / 100
Tiffy Army 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Phnom Penh Crown Tiffy Army

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Phnom Penh Crown Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Phnom Penh Crown found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Tiffy Army let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Phnom Penh Crown has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Phnom Penh Crown VS Tiffy Army
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Phnom Penh Crown

(Home)
17 Sept
Phnom Penh Crown
2 : 1
Kuching City FC
12 Sept
Angkor Tiger
2 : 2
Phnom Penh Crown
05 Sept
Phnom Penh Crown
2 : 2
NagaWorld
17 May
Svay Rieng
1 : 2
Phnom Penh Crown
10 May
Phnom Penh Crown
3 : 0
NagaWorld
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Tiffy Army

(Away)
19 Sept
Tiffy Army
4 : 5
NagaWorld
12 Sept
Svay Rieng
4 : 0
Tiffy Army
06 Sept
Tiffy Army
1 : 6
Visakha
16 May
Dangkor Senchey
6 : 0
Tiffy Army
09 May
Visakha
4 : 0
Tiffy Army
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Svay Rieng 20 16 1 3 63:22 49
2 Phnom Penh Crown 20 14 4 2 43:23 46
3 Angkor Tiger 20 11 3 6 52:29 36
4 NagaWorld 20 10 5 5 33:20 35
5 Boeung Ket 20 9 5 6 26:17 32
6 Moi Kompong Dewa 20 8 7 5 28:25 31
7 Visakha 20 7 8 5 36:28 29
8 Tiffy Army 20 4 5 11 20:51 17
9 Kirivong Sok Sen Chey 20 4 2 14 22:44 14
10 Life FC 20 3 1 16 17:48 10
11 Dangkor Senchey 20 2 3 15 18:51 9
Promotion - CPL 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - CPL 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)