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Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Phoenix Rising and Las Vegas Lights finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Las Vegas Lights.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Phoenix Rising
20%
Draws
29%
Las Vegas Lights
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Phoenix Rising

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Phoenix Rising carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Phoenix Rising Clean Sheet 20%
Las Vegas Lights Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Phoenix Rising Las Vegas Lights
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.33 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising
1:1
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights
0:1
Sep 6, 2025 USL Championship
Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights
0:0
May 29, 2025 USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising
0:1
Sep 29, 2024 USL Championship
Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Phoenix Rising 32 / 100
Las Vegas Lights 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Phoenix Rising Las Vegas Lights

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Phoenix Rising's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Las Vegas Lights's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Phoenix Rising remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Las Vegas Lights's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Phoenix Rising VS Las Vegas Lights
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Phoenix Rising

(Home)
27 Sept
Oakland Roots
3 : 0
Phoenix Rising
20 Sept
Phoenix Rising
1 : 3
El Paso Locomotive
13 Sept
Phoenix Rising
2 : 1
FC Tulsa
06 Sept
Monterey Bay
1 : 1
Phoenix Rising
30 Aug
Phoenix Rising
2 : 1
Indy Eleven
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Las Vegas Lights

(Away)
20 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 1
Hartford Athletic
13 Sept
Orange County SC
0 : 2
Las Vegas Lights
06 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2
New Mexico
30 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 2
Charleston
22 Aug
Lexington
2 : 0
Las Vegas Lights
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