Sport Picks

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Phoenix Rising vs San Ramon

USA USA

US Open Cup Wild Horse Pass Stadium, Chandler, AZ
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Avayevu H.
Assist: Ramirez E.
45' Event
Carvajal J.
90' Event
Vukovic A.
Assist: Sacko I.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Phoenix Rising
25%
Draws
35%
San Ramon
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Phoenix Rising

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Phoenix Rising lately — more wins on the board than San Ramon.
  • Win probability leans Phoenix Rising's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Phoenix Rising have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Phoenix Rising, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Phoenix Rising Clean Sheet 68%
San Ramon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Phoenix Rising San Ramon
Matches Played 27 1
Wins 8 0
Draws 7 0
Losses 12 1
Goals Scored 1.22 0
Goals Conceded 1.41 4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 US Open Cup
Phoenix Rising vs San Ramon
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Phoenix Rising Compare

Top Goalscorer Avayevu H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carvajal J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

San Ramon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Phoenix Rising 68 / 100
San Ramon 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Phoenix Rising San Ramon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Phoenix Rising Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Ramon has conceded goals in 100% of their last 1 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Phoenix Rising found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

Solid form: Phoenix Rising remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Phoenix Rising VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Phoenix Rising

(Home)
08 Aug
Lexington
1 : 0
Phoenix Rising
02 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 1
Phoenix Rising
26 Jul
Phoenix Rising
0 : 0
Hartford Athletic
19 Jul
Phoenix Rising
3 : 2
Monterey Bay
12 Jul
AV Alta FC
2 : 1
Phoenix Rising
Page 1 of 6

San Ramon

(Away)
18 Mar
Phoenix Rising
4 : 0
San Ramon

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
FC Naples 3
Red Force 0
South Georgia Tormenta -
America CFL Spurs -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orlando City -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhode Island 4
Faialense 0
Motown 0
Hartford Athletic 2
Chattanooga 2
Kalonji 1
Tennessee Tempo 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atlanta United -
Charlotte FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Charlotte Independence 4
Ristozi FC 1
Charleston 2
Florida Badgers 1
Richmond Kickers 2
Northern Virginia 0
West Chester United 1
Loudoun United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Columbus Crew -
DC United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Asheville City 3
Greenville Triumph 1
Vistula 1
One Knoxville 3
Vermont Green 1
Portland Hearts of Pine 0
Westchester SC 2
NY Renegades 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New York City -
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Steel City 1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
Carolina Core 1
Virginia Dream 2
Flint City 2
Forward Madison 0
Detroit City 5
Michigan Rangers 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chicago Fire -
St. Louis City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Antonio FC 6
New Stars 0
Little Rock Rangers 2
FC Tulsa 4
Lexington 9
Flower City Union 0
Louisville City 2
Southern Indiana 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Austin FC -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New Mexico 3
Cruizers FC 2
Laredo Heat 0
El Paso Locomotive 2
Colorado Springs 3
Azteca 0
Ventura 1
Spokane Velocity 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
Colorado Rapids -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Indy Eleven 3
Menace 0
BOHFS St. Louis 0
Union Omaha 8
AV Alta FC 0
Valley 559 FC 1
Sacramento Republic 2
El Farolito 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Minnesota United -
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orange County SC 3
Laguna United 0
Phoenix Rising 4
San Ramon 0
1/32-finals
FC Naples 3
America CFL Spurs 0
TBD -
Orlando City -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
Rhode Island 2
Hartford Athletic 0
Chattanooga 1
Tennessee Tempo 0
TBD -
Atlanta United -
Charlotte FC -
TBD -
Charlotte Independence 3
Charleston 2
Richmond Kickers 1
Loudoun United 0
TBD -
Columbus Crew -
DC United -
TBD -
Asheville City 1
One Knoxville 2
Vermont Green 0
Westchester SC 1
TBD -
New York City -
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
Virginia Dream 0
Flint City 0
Detroit City 1
TBD -
Chicago Fire -
St. Louis City -
TBD -
San Antonio FC 0
FC Tulsa 1
Lexington 0
Louisville City 2
TBD -
Austin FC -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
New Mexico 0
El Paso Locomotive 4
Colorado Springs 2
Spokane Velocity 1
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
Colorado Rapids -
TBD -
Indy Eleven 1
Union Omaha 2
Valley 559 FC 0
Sacramento Republic 4
TBD -
Minnesota United -
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
Orange County SC 1
Phoenix Rising 2
1/16-finals
FC Naples 0
Orlando City 1
New England Revolution 2
Rhode Island 1
Chattanooga 1
Atlanta United 3
Charlotte FC 6
Charlotte Independence 0
Richmond Kickers 0
Columbus Crew 3
DC United 3
One Knoxville 4
Westchester SC 2
New York City 5
New York Red Bulls 3
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1
Detroit City 1
Chicago Fire 2
St. Louis City 4
FC Tulsa 0
Louisville City 2
Austin FC 1
Houston Dynamo 4
El Paso Locomotive 1
Colorado Springs 3
Sporting Kansas City 0
Colorado Rapids 1
Union Omaha 0
Sacramento Republic 0
Minnesota United 1
San Jose Earthquakes 2
Phoenix Rising 0
1/8-finals
Orlando City 4
New England Revolution 3
Atlanta United 2
Charlotte FC 0
Columbus Crew 4
One Knoxville 1
New York City 3
New York Red Bulls 1
Chicago Fire 1
St. Louis City 2
Louisville City 1
Houston Dynamo 2
Colorado Springs 2
Colorado Rapids 3
Minnesota United 2
San Jose Earthquakes 4
Quarter-finals
Orlando City 4
Atlanta United 1
Columbus Crew 1
New York City 0
St. Louis City 3
Houston Dynamo 2
Colorado Rapids 2
San Jose Earthquakes 0
Semi-finals
Orlando City -
Columbus Crew -
St. Louis City -
Colorado Rapids -
Final
TBD -
TBD -