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Stadium Background

Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs Gia Lai

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 Ninh Binh Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Nguyen Minh Tam
29'
Marciel
46'
Sub
Le Van Thuan In: Friday F.
Out: Le Van Thuan

AI Match Summary

The V.League 1 game between Phu Dong Ninh Binh and Gia Lai finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gia Lai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
6%
Draws
4%
Gia Lai
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Phu Dong Ninh Binh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Phu Dong Ninh Binh carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Phu Dong Ninh Binh taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
Phu Dong Ninh Binh Clean Sheet 68%
Gia Lai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Phu Dong Ninh Binh Gia Lai
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 V.League 1
Gia Lai vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh
1:2
Feb 7, 2026 V.League 1
Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs Gia Lai
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Phu Dong Ninh Binh Compare

Top Goalscorer Geovane
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Gia Lai Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Minh Tam
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marciel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Phu Dong Ninh Binh 95 / 100
Gia Lai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Phu Dong Ninh Binh Gia Lai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PHU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Phu Dong Ninh Binh scored in 100% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Gia Lai conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Phu Dong Ninh Binh stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Phu Dong Ninh Binh VS Gia Lai
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cong An Ha Noi26204258:2264
2Viettel26159239:2154
3Phu Dong Ninh Binh26156553:3151
4Hanoi FC26144848:3046
5Ho Chi Minh261061028:3636
6Nam Dinh2698933:3235
7Hai Phong26951237:3632
8Hong Linh Ha Tinh26781115:2929
9Song Lam Nghe An26761327:4027
10Gia Lai26681224:3726
11Thanh Hoa265101126:3825
12Da Nang26591233:3924
13PVF-CAND26591226:4424
14Binh Duong26661431:4324