Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs PVF-CAND

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 2025/2026 Ninh Binh Stadium, Ninh Binh
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Nguyen A. T.
35' Event
Pham Gia Hung
38' Event
Nguyen Do Chung

AI Match Summary

The V.League 1 2025/2026 game between Phu Dong Ninh Binh and PVF-CAND finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Phu Dong Ninh Binh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
15%
Draws
39%
PVF-CAND
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Phu Dong Ninh Binh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Phu Dong Ninh Binh come out ahead of PVF-CAND on wins alone.
  • Model gives Phu Dong Ninh Binh a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular V.League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Phu Dong Ninh Binh here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Phu Dong Ninh Binh Clean Sheet 20%
PVF-CAND Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Phu Dong Ninh Binh PVF-CAND
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.13 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 V.League 1
Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs PVF-CAND
3:0
Mar 21, 2026 Vietnamese Cup
Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs PVF-CAND
3:2
Oct 25, 2025 V.League 1
PVF-CAND vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh
1:3
May 11, 2025 V.League 2
Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs PVF-CAND
1:0
Nov 19, 2024 V.League 2
PVF-CAND vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Phu Dong Ninh Binh Compare

Top Goalscorer Pham Gia Hung
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nguyen Do Chung
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

PVF-CAND Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Phu Dong Ninh Binh 85 / 100
PVF-CAND 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Phu Dong Ninh Binh PVF-CAND

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Phu Dong Ninh Binh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Phu Dong Ninh Binh scored in 100% of their last 31 outings.

PVF-CAND's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Phu Dong Ninh Binh stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Phu Dong Ninh Binh VS PVF-CAND
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Phu Dong Ninh Binh

(Home)
11 Sept
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
2 : 1
Thanh Hoa
05 Sept
Hai Phong
1 : 4
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
14 Jun
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
1 : 2
Ho Chi Minh
11 Jun
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
4 : 1
Viettel
07 Jun
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
3 : 0
Hong Linh Ha Tinh
Page 1 of 7

PVF-CAND

(Away)
11 Sept
PVF-CAND
2 : 1
Long An
12 Jun
PVF-CAND
1 : 2
Bac Ninh
07 Jun
Song Lam Nghe An
1 : 3
PVF-CAND
31 May
PVF-CAND
3 : 1
Hai Phong
22 May
Viettel
1 : 1
PVF-CAND
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cong An Ha Noi 26 20 4 2 58:22 64
2 Viettel 26 15 9 2 39:21 54
3 Phu Dong Ninh Binh 26 15 6 5 53:31 51
4 Hanoi FC 26 14 4 8 48:30 46
5 Ho Chi Minh 26 10 6 10 28:36 36
6 Nam Dinh 26 9 8 9 33:32 35
7 Hai Phong 26 9 5 12 37:36 32
8 Hong Linh Ha Tinh 26 7 8 11 15:29 29
9 Song Lam Nghe An 26 7 6 13 27:40 27
10 Gia Lai 26 6 8 12 24:37 26
11 Thanh Hoa 26 5 10 11 26:38 25
12 Da Nang 26 5 9 12 33:39 24
13 PVF-CAND 26 5 9 12 26:44 24
14 Binh Duong 26 6 6 14 31:43 24
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - V.League 1 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - V.League 2 (Main)