Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs Song Lam Nghe An

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 Ninh Binh Stadium, Ninh Binh
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Nguyen X. B.
47'
Tran Bao Toan
52'
Nguyen Duc Chien

AI Match Summary

Phu Dong Ninh Binh in this V.League 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Phu Dong Ninh Binh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
6%
Draws
4%
Song Lam Nghe An
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Phu Dong Ninh Binh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Phu Dong Ninh Binh lately — more wins on the board than Song Lam Nghe An.
  • Phu Dong Ninh Binh are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40.400000000000006%
Phu Dong Ninh Binh Clean Sheet 68%
Song Lam Nghe An Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Phu Dong Ninh Binh Song Lam Nghe An
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 V.League 1
Song Lam Nghe An vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh
1:2
Nov 5, 2025 V.League 1
Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs Song Lam Nghe An
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Phu Dong Ninh Binh Compare

Top Goalscorer Pham Gia Hung
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Song Lam Nghe An Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Phu Dong Ninh Binh 95 / 100
Song Lam Nghe An 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Phu Dong Ninh Binh Song Lam Nghe An

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PHU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Phu Dong Ninh Binh's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Song Lam Nghe An let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Phu Dong Ninh Binh has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Phu Dong Ninh Binh VS Song Lam Nghe An
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Phu Dong Ninh Binh

(Home)
14 Jun
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
1 : 2
Ho Chi Minh
11 Jun
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
4 : 1
Viettel
07 Jun
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
3 : 0
Hong Linh Ha Tinh
31 May
Thanh Hoa
0 : 2
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
23 May
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
1 : 1
Ho Chi Minh
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Song Lam Nghe An

(Away)
07 Jun
Song Lam Nghe An
1 : 3
PVF-CAND
31 May
Nam Dinh
3 : 0
Song Lam Nghe An
24 May
Binh Duong
0 : 1
Song Lam Nghe An
16 May
Song Lam Nghe An
1 : 2
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
10 May
Ho Chi Minh
3 : 1
Song Lam Nghe An
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cong An Ha Noi26204258:2264
2Viettel26159239:2154
3Phu Dong Ninh Binh26156553:3151
4Hanoi FC26144848:3046
5Ho Chi Minh261061028:3636
6Nam Dinh2698933:3235
7Hai Phong26951237:3632
8Hong Linh Ha Tinh26781115:2929
9Song Lam Nghe An26761327:4027
10Gia Lai26681224:3726
11Thanh Hoa265101126:3825
12Da Nang26591233:3924
13PVF-CAND26591226:4424
14Binh Duong26661431:4324
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - V.League 1 (Relegation)
Relegation - V.League 2 2026/2027 (Main)