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Piacenza vs Caldiero Terme - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Piacenza host Caldiero Terme in the Serie D - Group B. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Piacenza at 1.88 goals for, 0.91 against; Caldiero Terme at 1.77 for, 1.33 against. Past meetings favor Piacenza slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2024, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.25, favoring Piacenza. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Piacenza
30%
Draws
38%
Caldiero Terme
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caldiero Terme

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Piacenza come out ahead of Caldiero Terme on wins alone.
  • Piacenza are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Piacenza Clean Sheet 19%
Caldiero Terme Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Piacenza Caldiero Terme
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 20 11
Draws 4 11
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.88 1.77
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Caldiero Terme vs Piacenza
2:1
Nov 19, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Piacenza vs Caldiero Terme
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piacenza 40 / 100
Caldiero Terme 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Piacenza Caldiero Terme

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Piacenza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Piacenza scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Caldiero Terme let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Piacenza remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Piacenza VS Caldiero Terme
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Piacenza

(Home)
10 Oct
Fiorenzuola
0 : 0
Piacenza
07 Oct
Lentigione
1 : 3
Piacenza
04 Oct
Piacenza
4 : 0
Scanzorosciate
20 Sept
Piacenza
3 : 1
Real Calepina
16 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 1
Piacenza
Page 1 of 7

Caldiero Terme

(Away)
11 Oct
Pro Palazzolo
1 : 3
Caldiero Terme
07 Oct
Este
0 : 2
Caldiero Terme
04 Oct
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0
Nibbiano & Valtidone
27 Sept
Fiorenzuola
1 : 1
Caldiero Terme
20 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0
Scanzorosciate
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nibbiano & Valtidone 7 6 0 1 11:3 18
2 Chievo 7 5 1 1 15:7 16
3 AC Leon 7 3 3 1 12:7 12
4 Caldiero Terme 7 3 3 1 12:9 12
5 Piacenza 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
6 Villa Valle 7 2 4 1 9:6 10
7 Pro Palazzolo 7 3 1 3 7:10 10
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 7 2 3 2 9:8 9
9 AC Milan U23 5 3 0 2 9:9 9
10 Brusaporto 7 3 0 4 7:9 9
11 Virtus Verona 7 2 3 2 6:8 9
12 Real Calepina 7 2 2 3 11:12 8
13 Scanzorosciate 7 2 2 3 6:8 8
14 Club Milano 7 2 1 4 5:7 7
15 Pavonese 6 2 1 3 5:9 7
16 Rovato Vertovese 7 1 3 3 10:13 6
17 Fiorenzuola 7 0 3 4 1:7 3
18 Tritium 7 0 2 5 7:16 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)