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Piacenza vs Real Calepina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Raffini S.
57' Event
Cortesi M.
75' Event
Raffini S.

AI Match Summary

Piacenza in this Serie D - Group B matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Piacenza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Piacenza
20%
Draws
17%
Real Calepina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Piacenza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Real Calepina haven't matched Piacenza's recent run of results.
  • Piacenza are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Piacenza have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Piacenza Clean Sheet 68%
Real Calepina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Piacenza Real Calepina
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 17 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.86 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Piacenza vs Real Calepina
3:1
Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Piacenza vs Real Calepina
3:0
Dec 16, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs Piacenza
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Piacenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Raffini S.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Real Calepina Compare

Top Goalscorer Cortesi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piacenza 95 / 100
Real Calepina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Piacenza Real Calepina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Piacenza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Piacenza went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Piacenza's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Real Calepina conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Piacenza VS Real Calepina
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Piacenza

(Home)
10 Oct
Fiorenzuola
0 : 0
Piacenza
07 Oct
Lentigione
1 : 3
Piacenza
04 Oct
Piacenza
4 : 0
Scanzorosciate
20 Sept
Piacenza
3 : 1
Real Calepina
16 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 1
Piacenza
Page 1 of 6

Real Calepina

(Away)
11 Oct
Real Calepina
0 : 3
Villa Valle
07 Oct
Real Calepina
0 : 2
AC Leon
04 Oct
Rovato Vertovese
0 : 1
Real Calepina
27 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 3
Brusaporto
20 Sept
Piacenza
3 : 1
Real Calepina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nibbiano & Valtidone 7 6 0 1 11:3 18
2 Chievo 7 5 1 1 15:7 16
3 AC Leon 7 3 3 1 12:7 12
4 Caldiero Terme 7 3 3 1 12:9 12
5 Piacenza 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
6 Villa Valle 7 2 4 1 9:6 10
7 Pro Palazzolo 7 3 1 3 7:10 10
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 7 2 3 2 9:8 9
9 AC Milan U23 5 3 0 2 9:9 9
10 Brusaporto 7 3 0 4 7:9 9
11 Virtus Verona 7 2 3 2 6:8 9
12 Real Calepina 7 2 2 3 11:12 8
13 Scanzorosciate 7 2 2 3 6:8 8
14 Club Milano 7 2 1 4 5:7 7
15 Pavonese 6 2 1 3 5:9 7
16 Rovato Vertovese 7 1 3 3 10:13 6
17 Fiorenzuola 7 0 3 4 1:7 3
18 Tritium 7 0 2 5 7:16 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)