Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group D

Rovato Vertovese

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Piacenza play Rovato Vertovese in the Serie D - Group D. It looks like a close match. Recently, Piacenza averaged 1.85 goals scored and 1 conceded. Rovato Vertovese averaged 1.06 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. In past meetings, Piacenza won 2, Rovato Vertovese won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 25, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Piacenza and 0.94 for Rovato Vertovese. This points to a Piacenza double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Piacenza

22%

Draws

31%

Rovato Vertovese

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Piacenza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Piacenza picked up more points recently compared to Rovato Vertovese.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Piacenza Clean Sheet 24%

Rovato Vertovese Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Piacenza	Rovato Vertovese
Matches Played	33	31
Wins	20	14
Draws	5	9
Losses	8	8
Goals Scored	1.85	1.06
Goals Conceded	1	0.87
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Serie D - Group D

Piacenza vs Rovato Vertovese

Possession: 42% - 41% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Sep 24, 2025 Serie D - Group D

Rovato Vertovese vs Piacenza

Possession: 52% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Piacenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Manuzzi F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Rovato Vertovese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piacenza 47 / 100

Rovato Vertovese 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Piacenza Rovato Vertovese

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Piacenza or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20.3%

2.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Piacenza attacking → ← attacking Rovato Vertovese

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Piacenza scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Rovato Vertovese let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Piacenza went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Rovato Vertovese lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 51

2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Desenzano Calvina	34	23	8	3	60:21	77
2	Lentigione	34	22	7	5	51:23	73
3	Pistoiese	34	20	11	3	61:22	71
4	Piacenza	34	19	7	8	60:35	64
5	Pro Palazzolo	34	16	9	9	44:31	57
6	Pro Sesto	34	15	10	9	45:30	55
7	Cittadella Vis Modena	34	15	10	9	35:29	55
8	Rovato Vertovese	34	14	10	10	35:29	52
9	Sangiuliano City	34	14	8	12	41:45	47
10	SCD Progresso	34	10	9	15	38:42	39
11	Sant'Angelo	34	10	9	15	38:51	39
12	Correggese	34	9	12	13	35:36	39
13	Crema	34	9	11	14	35:47	38
14	Imolese	34	8	10	16	28:47	34
15	Sasso Marconi	34	8	7	19	33:49	31
16	Tropical Coriano	34	7	10	17	29:45	31
17	Trevigliese	34	5	8	21	31:62	23
18	Tuttocuoio	34	0	8	26	18:73	8