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Pianese vs Grosseto

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Mastropietro F.
(Penalty)
28' Event
Bellini L.
80' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Pianese and Grosseto finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pianese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Pianese
35%
Draws
52%
Grosseto
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Grosseto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Grosseto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Grosseto a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Pianese Clean Sheet 14%
Grosseto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pianese Grosseto
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 12
Draws 13 9
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1 1.43
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Pianese vs Grosseto
0:0
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Pianese vs Grosseto
4:0
Apr 7, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Pianese vs Grosseto
1:3
Nov 26, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Grosseto vs Pianese
1:1
Apr 30, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Grosseto vs Pianese
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pianese Compare

Top Goalscorer Bellini L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Grosseto Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pianese 23 / 100
Grosseto 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pianese Grosseto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grosseto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pianese found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Grosseto has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Pianese remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pianese VS Grosseto
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pianese

(Home)
26 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Pianese
21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1
Sambenedettese
16 Sept
Sassari Torres
2 : 1
Pianese
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0
Grosseto
05 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 0
Pianese
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Grosseto

(Away)
26 Sept
Pineto
0 : 4
Grosseto
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0
Perugia
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2
Campobasso
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0
Grosseto
09 Sept
Grosseto
1 : 4
Latina
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