Sport Picks
Match Events
23'
23'
Tascini A.
(Penalty)
47'
47'
Ranelli L.
(Penalty)
59'
59'
Schiaroli L.
AI Match Summary
Lornano Badesse in this Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lornano Badesse.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lornano Badesse
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lornano Badesse lately — more wins on the board than Pianese.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Lornano Badesse have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Pianese Clean Sheet 24%
Lornano Badesse Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pianese | Lornano Badesse |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 14 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 6, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Pianese vs Lornano Badesse
1:3
Oct 24, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Lornano Badesse vs Pianese
2:1
Apr 11, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Pianese vs Lornano Badesse
2:2
Dec 20, 2020 Serie D - Group E
Lornano Badesse vs Pianese
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pianese Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Lornano Badesse Compare
Top Goalscorer Schiaroli L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mignani G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pianese 33 / 100
Lornano Badesse 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pianese Lornano Badesse
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lornano Badesse Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pianese scored in 65% of their last 34 games.
Defensive concern: Lornano Badesse conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Pianese stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Pianese VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Pianese
(Home) 21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1 Sambenedettese
16 Sept
Sassari Torres
2 : 1 Pianese
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0 Grosseto
05 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 0 Pianese
28 Aug
Pianese
0 : 0 Vado
Page 1 of 7
21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1 Sambenedettese
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0 Grosseto
28 Aug
Pianese
0 : 0 Vado
05 Aug
Pianese
2 : 0 Montevarchi
10 May
Pianese
1 : 1 Lecco
Page 1 of 4
Lornano Badesse
(Away) 15 May
Sangiovannese
2 : 0 Lornano Badesse
08 May
Lornano Badesse
2 : 0 Arezzo
01 May
Foligno
3 : 3 Lornano Badesse
27 Apr
Lornano Badesse
2 : 1 Montespaccato
23 Apr
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0 Lornano Badesse
Page 1 of 6
15 May
Sangiovannese
2 : 0 Lornano Badesse
01 May
Foligno
3 : 3 Lornano Badesse
23 Apr
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0 Lornano Badesse
10 Apr
FC Rieti
2 : 0 Lornano Badesse
30 Mar
Unipomezia
1 : 1 Lornano Badesse
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 26 | 3 | 5 | 86:30 | 81 |
| 2 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 61:28 | 74 |
| 3 | Arezzo | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 65:45 | 64 |
| 4 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 63:30 | 63 |
| 5 | Pianese | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:42 | 56 |
| 6 | Lornano Badesse | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47:43 | 54 |
| 7 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 48:43 | 49 |
| 8 | Flaminia | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 49:50 | 46 |
| 9 | Tiferno Lerchi | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 36:48 | 42 |
| 10 | Montespaccato | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 43:44 | 42 |
| 11 | Mobilieri Ponsacco | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39:40 | 42 |
| 12 | Sangiovannese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 37:39 | 41 |
| 13 | Scandicci | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 36:44 | 41 |
| 14 | FC Rieti | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 39:58 | 35 |
| 15 | Foligno | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 46:65 | 35 |
| 16 | Unipomezia | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 38:64 | 31 |
| 17 | Cannara | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 27:52 | 24 |
| 18 | Pro Livorno | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 31:84 | 21 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 (Play Out)
