Sport Picks
Pianese vs US Pontedera
Italy
Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Comunale, Piancastagnaio 
Match Events
28'
28'
Faggi F.
38'
38'
Nabian H.
46'
46'
Sub
Colombo M. In: Sussi C.
Out: Colombo M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pianese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Pianese have won more games recently than US Pontedera.
- Model gives Pianese a 80% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Pianese Clean Sheet 68%
US Pontedera Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pianese | US Pontedera |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 7 | 1 |
| Draws | 13 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.78 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.85 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Pianese vs US Pontedera
2:2
Nov 16, 2025 Serie C - Group B
US Pontedera vs Pianese
2:0
Mar 28, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Pianese vs US Pontedera
0:3
Nov 16, 2024 Serie C - Group B
US Pontedera vs Pianese
1:2
Aug 10, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie C
US Pontedera vs Pianese
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pianese Compare
Top Goalscorer Sussi C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ongaro E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
US Pontedera Compare
Top Goalscorer Cerretti C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sapola M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pianese 95 / 100
US Pontedera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pianese US Pontedera
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pianese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
US Pontedera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 27 matches.
Away concern: US Pontedera has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Pianese found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Pianese VS US Pontedera
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Pianese
(Home) 04 Oct
Pianese
2 : 1 Ravenna
26 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2 Pianese
21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1 Sambenedettese
16 Sept
Sassari Torres
2 : 1 Pianese
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0 Grosseto
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Pianese
2 : 1 Ravenna
21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1 Sambenedettese
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0 Grosseto
28 Aug
Pianese
0 : 0 Vado
05 Aug
Pianese
2 : 0 Montevarchi
Page 1 of 3
US Pontedera
(Away) 04 Oct
US Pontedera
0 : 3 Cittadella Vis Modena
20 Sept
US Pontedera
0 : 3 Varese FC
16 Sept
Pro Sesto
3 : 0 US Pontedera
12 Sept
US Pontedera
2 : 3 Pro Patria
06 Sept
Castellanzese
3 : 1 US Pontedera
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Pro Sesto
3 : 0 US Pontedera
06 Sept
Castellanzese
3 : 1 US Pontedera
12 Aug
Tau
0 : 1 US Pontedera
18 Apr
Sambenedettese
2 : 1 US Pontedera
03 Apr
Carpi
2 : 0 US Pontedera
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arezzo | 36 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 64:24 | 80 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 63:23 | 77 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 50:30 | 73 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 49:37 | 59 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 46:43 | 53 |
| 6 | Pianese | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 37:34 | 50 |
| 7 | Pineto | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | 50 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 31:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Ternana | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 44:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Vis Pesaro | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 38:36 | 46 |
| 11 | Livorno | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 39:51 | 43 |
| 12 | Forli FC | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 41:52 | 40 |
| 13 | Carpi | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 35:48 | 40 |
| 14 | Perugia | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 38:44 | 38 |
| 15 | Guidonia 1937 | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 30:37 | 37 |
| 17 | Sassari Torres | 36 | 6 | 18 | 12 | 32:45 | 36 |
| 18 | Bra | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 37:54 | 32 |
| 19 | US Pontedera | 36 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 27:62 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
