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Piaui vs Parnahyba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense
Piaui Logo

Piaui

1 - 0
FT
Parnahyba Logo

Parnahyba

Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Gustavo Brandao
63'
Gustavo Brandao
63'
Gustavo Brandao
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Piauiense game between Piaui and Parnahyba finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Piaui.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Piaui
15%
Draws
37%
Parnahyba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Piaui

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Piaui carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Piaui taking it.
  • Regular Piauiense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Piaui Clean Sheet 68%
Parnahyba Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Piaui Parnahyba
Matches Played 33 35
Wins 16 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.09 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2026 Piauiense
Piaui vs Parnahyba
1:0
Mar 15, 2025 Piauiense
Piaui vs Parnahyba
3:1
Mar 9, 2025 Piauiense
Parnahyba vs Piaui
2:1
Feb 9, 2025 Piauiense
Parnahyba vs Piaui
0:1
Jan 20, 2025 Piauiense
Piaui vs Parnahyba
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Piaui Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Brandao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Parnahyba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piaui 77 / 100
Parnahyba 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Piaui Parnahyba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Piaui Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Piaui scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Defensive concern: Parnahyba conceded in 77% of 35 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Piaui remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Piaui VS Parnahyba
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Piaui

(Home)
27 Jun
Piaui
1 : 0
Maguary
21 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Piaui
13 Jun
Piaui
2 : 1
Tirol
01 Jun
Atletico Cearense
0 : 1
Piaui
23 May
Piaui
0 : 1
Fluminense-PI
Page 1 of 7

Parnahyba

(Away)
27 Jun
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 0
Parnahyba
21 Jun
Parnahyba
2 : 1
Aguia De Maraba
07 Jun
Parnahyba
1 : 0
Moto Club
30 May
Iguatu
2 : 2
Parnahyba
24 May
Parnahyba
0 : 1
Maracana
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-PI 7 4 2 1 13:5 14
2 Piaui 7 4 1 2 8:7 13
3 Fluminense-PI 7 3 2 2 12:9 11
4 AE Altos 7 2 5 0 7:4 11
5 Oeirense 7 3 1 3 8:7 10
6 TEC 7 2 2 3 5:7 8
7 Corisabba 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
8 Parnahyba 7 0 3 4 5:12 3
Promotion - Piauiense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Piauiense 2 2027 (Main)