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Piaui vs Parnahyba

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Gustavo Brandao
63'
Gustavo Brandao
63'
Gustavo Brandao

AI Match Summary

The Piauiense game between Piaui and Parnahyba finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Piaui.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Piaui
17%
Draws
13%
Parnahyba
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Piaui

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Piaui carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Piaui taking it.
  • Regular Piauiense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Piaui Clean Sheet 68%
Parnahyba Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Piaui Parnahyba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2026 Piauiense
Piaui vs Parnahyba
1:0
Mar 15, 2025 Piauiense
Piaui vs Parnahyba
3:1
Mar 9, 2025 Piauiense
Parnahyba vs Piaui
2:1
Feb 9, 2025 Piauiense
Parnahyba vs Piaui
0:1
Jan 20, 2025 Piauiense
Piaui vs Parnahyba
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Piaui Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Brandao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Parnahyba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piaui 77 / 100
Parnahyba 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Piaui Parnahyba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parnahyba has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Piaui found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Piaui remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Piaui VS Parnahyba
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico-PI742113:514
2Piaui74128:713
3Fluminense-PI732212:911
4AE Altos72507:411
5Oeirense73138:710
6TEC72235:78
7Corisabba71246:135
8Parnahyba70345:123