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Piaui vs Sousa

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Nordeste
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Gianlucas In: Felipe Jacare
Out: Gianlucas
54'
Pedro Costa
62'
Sub
Veraldo In: Kiko
Out: Veraldo

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Piaui
15%
Draws
26%
Sousa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Piaui

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Piaui lately — more wins on the board than Sousa.
  • Piaui are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Piaui have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Piaui, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Piaui Clean Sheet 68%
Sousa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Piaui Sousa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.1 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Piaui vs Sousa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Piaui Compare

Top Goalscorer Eduardo Thuram
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sousa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piaui 77 / 100
Sousa 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Piaui Sousa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Piaui Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Piaui's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sousa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Piaui stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Sousa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Piaui VS Sousa
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Piaui

(Home)
27 Jun
Piaui
1 : 0
Maguary
21 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Piaui
13 Jun
Piaui
2 : 1
Tirol
01 Jun
Atletico Cearense
0 : 1
Piaui
23 May
Piaui
0 : 1
Fluminense-PI
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Sousa

(Away)
14 Jun
Sousa
0 : 2
America RN
01 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Sousa
23 May
Sousa
0 : 0
Central SC
16 May
ABC
2 : 0
Sousa
10 May
Laguna RN
0 : 1
Sousa
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