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Picerno vs Salernitana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio, Picerno
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Picerno host Salernitana in the Serie C - Group C. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Picerno have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.28 conceded recently, against Salernitana's 1.33 scored and 1.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Picerno have won 0 to Salernitana's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.69, favoring Salernitana. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Picerno
20%
Draws
58%
Salernitana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Salernitana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Salernitana lately — more wins on the board than Picerno.
  • Model gives Salernitana a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Salernitana have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Picerno Clean Sheet 13%
Salernitana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Picerno Salernitana
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Salernitana vs Picerno
2:1
Dec 13, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Picerno vs Salernitana
1:2
Jul 23, 2023 Club Friendly
Salernitana vs Picerno
1:0
Jul 28, 2019 Club Friendly
Salernitana vs Picerno
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Picerno 22 / 100
Salernitana 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Picerno Salernitana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salernitana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salernitana has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Picerno scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Picerno has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Picerno VS Salernitana
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Picerno

(Home)
12 Oct
Picerno
1 : 2
Cosenza
04 Oct
Potenza
4 : 2
Picerno
26 Sept
Picerno
2 : 1
Audace Cerignola
19 Sept
Altamura
2 : 1
Picerno
15 Sept
Picerno
2 : 4
Catania
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Salernitana

(Away)
11 Oct
Casarano
0 : 0
Salernitana
04 Oct
Salernitana
2 : 1
Bari
26 Sept
Crotone
2 : 1
Salernitana
19 Sept
Salernitana
1 : 0
Giugliano
15 Sept
Barletta
1 : 1
Salernitana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 9 7 1 1 24:12 22
2 Bari 9 6 1 2 13:6 19
3 Sorrento 9 6 0 3 14:10 18
4 Catania 9 5 1 3 17:10 16
5 Casertana 9 4 3 2 15:13 15
6 Audace Cerignola 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
7 Inter U23 8 4 1 3 16:13 13
8 Scafatese 8 3 4 1 13:11 13
9 Salernitana 9 3 4 2 12:10 13
10 Picerno 9 4 0 5 17:17 12
11 Cavese 9 3 3 3 15:15 12
12 Monopoli 9 3 3 3 7:7 12
13 Foggia 9 3 2 4 9:10 11
14 Casarano 9 3 2 4 10:13 11
15 A.C. Savoia 9 2 4 3 11:12 10
16 Barletta 9 1 5 3 12:15 8
17 Altamura 9 2 2 5 4:13 8
18 Giugliano 9 2 1 6 12:22 7
19 Cosenza 9 1 2 6 7:19 5
20 Crotone 9 1 3 5 10:15 0
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)