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Stadium Background

Picos vs River-PI - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Picos
35%
Draws
32%
River-PI
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • River-PI have won more games recently than Picos.
  • Picos are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • River-PI arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor River-PI, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Picos Clean Sheet 20%
River-PI Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Picos River-PI
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.3 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Piauiense 2
Picos vs River-PI
1:1
Sep 30, 2026 Piauiense 2
River-PI vs Picos
2:1
Sep 5, 2026 Piauiense 2
River-PI vs Picos
0:3
Jan 30, 2024 Piauiense
Picos vs River-PI
1:2
Jan 13, 2024 Piauiense
River-PI vs Picos
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Picos 58 / 100
River-PI 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Picos River-PI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Picos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: River-PI conceded in 85% of 33 recent games.

Picos's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Picos remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Picos VS River-PI
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Picos

(Home)
07 Oct
Picos
1 : 1
River-PI
30 Sept
River-PI
2 : 1
Picos
26 Sept
Picos
2 : 0
Flamengo PI
19 Sept
Julho Esporte
3 : 3
Picos
15 Sept
Caicara
1 : 5
Picos
Page 1 of 6

River-PI

(Away)
07 Oct
Picos
1 : 1
River-PI
30 Sept
River-PI
2 : 1
Picos
26 Sept
River-PI
3 : 1
Julho Esporte
19 Sept
Comercial PI
2 : 1
River-PI
12 Sept
River-PI
2 : 2
Flamengo PI
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Comercial PI 2
Flamengo PI 3
Picos 2
River-PI 3
Final
Flamengo PI -
River-PI -