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Picuiense vs Desportiva Guarabira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2 Municipal o Carneirão, Cruz do Espírito Santo
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AI Match Summary

The Paraibano 2 game between Picuiense and Desportiva Guarabira finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Desportiva Guarabira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Picuiense
20%
Draws
64%
Desportiva Guarabira
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Desportiva Guarabira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Desportiva Guarabira carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Desportiva Guarabira a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Desportiva Guarabira have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Picuiense Clean Sheet 10%
Desportiva Guarabira Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Picuiense Desportiva Guarabira
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.8 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2026 Paraibano 2
Picuiense vs Desportiva Guarabira
0:2
Aug 22, 2024 Paraibano 2
Picuiense vs Desportiva Guarabira
1:3
Sep 18, 2023 Paraibano 2
Picuiense vs Desportiva Guarabira
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Picuiense 14 / 100
Desportiva Guarabira 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Picuiense Desportiva Guarabira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Desportiva Guarabira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportiva Guarabira has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Desportiva Guarabira lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Picuiense scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Picuiense VS Desportiva Guarabira
0.63 Goals Scored 2.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Picuiense

(Home)
08 Oct
Picuiense
1 : 3
Sport PB
03 Oct
Picuiense
0 : 6
Santa Rita
30 Sept
Auto Esporte
4 : 0
Picuiense
27 Sept
Serrano PB
1 : 1
Picuiense
24 Sept
Picuiense
0 : 2
Desportiva Guarabira
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Desportiva Guarabira

(Away)
08 Oct
Desportiva Guarabira
0 : 1
Auto Esporte
05 Oct
Desportiva Guarabira
0 : 1
Spartax
01 Oct
Serrano PB
2 : 0
Desportiva Guarabira
27 Sept
Desportiva Guarabira
0 : 0
Cruzeiro-PB
24 Sept
Picuiense
0 : 2
Desportiva Guarabira
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auto Esporte 8 6 2 0 17:4 20
2 Santa Rita 8 6 0 2 19:8 18
3 Desportiva Guarabira 8 4 1 3 14:4 13
4 Cruzeiro-PB 8 3 4 1 7:4 13
5 Spartax 8 2 4 2 11:11 10
6 Serrano PB 8 2 4 2 7:9 10
7 Sport PB 8 2 3 3 8:9 9
8 Sao Paulo Crystal 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
9 Picuiense 8 1 2 5 5:18 5
10 Femar 8 0 1 7 5:22 1
Promotion - Paraibano 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Paraibano 2 (Play Offs)