Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Picuiense vs Sousa

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2025 Estadio Governador Ernani Satyro (Amigao), Campina Grande
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Diego Viana
18' Event
Diego Ceara
40' Event
Kiko

AI Match Summary

Sousa in this Paraibano 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sousa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Picuiense
15%
Draws
85%
Sousa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sousa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sousa lately — more wins on the board than Picuiense.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Sousa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Picuiense Clean Sheet 22%
Sousa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Picuiense Sousa
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.9 1
Goals Conceded 2.2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2025 Paraibano
Picuiense vs Sousa
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Picuiense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Sousa Compare

Top Goalscorer Diego Ceara
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kiko
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Picuiense 10 / 100
Sousa 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Picuiense Sousa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sousa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sousa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Sousa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Picuiense scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sousa
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Picuiense

(Home)
19 Feb
Picuiense
0 : 5
EC de Patos
15 Feb
Botafogo PB
3 : 0
Picuiense
12 Feb
Picuiense
2 : 6
Treze PB
09 Feb
Picuiense
1 : 2
Auto Esporte
03 Feb
Serra Branca
8 : 0
Picuiense
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Sousa

(Away)
14 Jun
Sousa
0 : 2
America RN
01 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Sousa
23 May
Sousa
0 : 0
Central SC
16 May
ABC
2 : 0
Sousa
10 May
Laguna RN
0 : 1
Sousa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sousa 9 6 2 1 14:3 20
2 Botafogo PB 9 6 1 2 19:8 19
3 Treze PB 9 5 3 1 18:8 18
4 Serra Branca 9 5 2 2 21:8 17
5 Campinense 9 4 2 3 14:10 14
6 EC de Patos 9 3 1 5 14:16 10
7 Pombal 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
8 Nacional PB 9 2 3 4 15:21 9
9 Auto Esporte 9 1 4 4 9:16 7
10 Picuiense 9 0 1 8 5:35 1
11 CSP 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Paraibano 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 (Main)