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Stadium Background

Pieta vs St. Andrews

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2025/2026 Centenary Stadium, Ta' Qali
Pieta Logo

Pieta

2 - 2
FT
St. Andrews Logo

St. Andrews

Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Brincat Winters E.
58' Event
Arthur
64' Event
Farrugia S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Challenge League 2025/2026 game between Pieta and St. Andrews finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Pieta
30%
Draws
8%
St. Andrews
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pieta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pieta come out ahead of St. Andrews on wins alone.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Pieta taking it.
  • Regular Challenge League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Pieta Clean Sheet 20%
St. Andrews Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pieta St. Andrews
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.83 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Challenge League
Pieta vs St. Andrews
2:2
Dec 10, 2025 Challenge League
Pieta vs St. Andrews
1:3
Feb 1, 2025 Challenge League
St. Andrews vs Pieta
1:3
Jan 21, 2024 Challenge League
Pieta vs St. Andrews
0:1
Jan 22, 2022 Challenge League
St. Andrews vs Pieta
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pieta Compare

Top Goalscorer Arthur
1 Goals
Assists Leader Farrugia S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

St. Andrews Compare

Top Goalscorer Brincat Winters E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nakov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pieta 85 / 100
St. Andrews 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pieta St. Andrews

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pieta's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: St. Andrews conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Pieta remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pieta VS St. Andrews
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pieta

(Home)
19 Apr
Pieta
2 : 2
St. Andrews
12 Apr
Sirens
3 : 4
Pieta
04 Apr
Fgura
0 : 4
Pieta
17 Mar
Pieta
0 : 1
Melita
14 Mar
Birzebbuga
2 : 2
Pieta
Page 1 of 6

St. Andrews

(Away)
19 Apr
Pieta
2 : 2
St. Andrews
11 Apr
St. Andrews
0 : 1
Swieqi
04 Apr
St. Andrews
1 : 3
Birzebbuga
14 Mar
Melita
3 : 0
St. Andrews
07 Mar
St. Andrews
0 : 3
Sirens
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Balzan FC 22 15 3 4 50:21 48
2 Swieqi 22 14 4 4 48:28 46
3 Birzebbuga 22 14 4 4 47:27 46
4 Melita 22 12 2 8 42:28 38
5 Sirens 22 11 2 9 50:33 35
6 Pieta 22 10 5 7 42:34 35
7 Fgura 22 10 2 10 41:37 32
8 St. Andrews 22 8 3 11 26:38 27
Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Main)
Promotion - Challenge League 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)