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Pikine vs ASC HLM

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Pikine and ASC HLM finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Pikine
35%
Draws
49%
ASC HLM
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ASC HLM

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Pikine carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Pikine Clean Sheet 28%
ASC HLM Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pikine ASC HLM
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 13 18
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 0.67 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 Ligue 1
ASC HLM vs Pikine
2:1
Feb 15, 2026 Ligue 1
Pikine vs ASC HLM
0:0
Jun 26, 2025 Ligue 1
Pikine vs ASC HLM
0:0
Feb 10, 2025 Ligue 1
ASC HLM vs Pikine
1:1
Jul 9, 2011 Ligue 1
ASC HLM vs Pikine
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pikine 34 / 100
ASC HLM 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pikine ASC HLM

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASC HLM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pikine scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

ASC HLM has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Pikine has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pikine VS ASC HLM
1 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pikine

(Home)
04 Jun
ASC HLM
2 : 1
Pikine
22 May
Pikine
1 : 2
AS Camberene
17 May
Casa
1 : 0
Pikine
13 May
Pikine
0 : 0
ASC Jaraaf
10 May
Pikine
0 : 0
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
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ASC HLM

(Away)
04 Jun
ASC HLM
2 : 1
Pikine
22 May
Sonacos
0 : 0
ASC HLM
17 May
ASC HLM
0 : 1
Generation Foot
13 May
ASC HLM
0 : 0
Linguere
10 May
US Goree
1 : 1
ASC HLM
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)